One year after getting swept out of the playoffs by the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NLCS, the Milwaukee Brewers entered these playoffs hoping to exact revenge.
Tonight, Milwaukee might have the opportunity to exact exact revenge, as it’s up 3-0 and has a chance to sweep the Dodgers in Game 4 tonight in Los Angeles. First pitch is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET, and a Brewers win would give them their first pennant since 1982. The Dodgers are seeking to become just the second team ever to overturn a 3-0 playoff deficit to win the series.
Los Angeles is a -157 favorite at DraftKings Sportsbook to extend the series with Tyler Glasnow cresting the hill. Milwaukee (+130) is opting for a bullpen game, with left-hander Shane Drohan and right-hander Dustin May expected to contribute a bulk of the innings.
Below, I’ll break down my favorite prop bets from tonight’s potential elimination game, focusing on one player from each team.
Brewers at Dodgers Best Prop Bets Tonight for Thursday 10/15/26
Jackson Chourio 1+ RBI’s (+209)
I’ve backed Chourio to record an RBI twice these playoffs, and he’s come through both times. Although he’s only hitting .200/.242/.400 these playoffs, but it’s a loud .200/.242/.400. He hit a game-tying homer in Game 1 of the NLDS and a walkoff single in Game 2, and he opened the scoring in last night’s gut-wrencher with a leadoff home run against Blake Snell. He did hit slightly worse than the league average with runners in scoring position during the regular season, but it’s just hard for me to go against a guy who’s had an RBI in 10 of his last 12 games.
On paper, getting an RBI against Glasnow is difficult, since he’s had a 1.73 ERA across seven appearances (four starts) with the Dodgers, who have never lost a playoff game in which he has appeared (including when he was the opposing pitcher in the 2020 World Series). Glasnow doesn’t give up many hits (his .190 xBA ranks in the 95th percentile, and he’s never allowed more than five hits in a playoff start with Los Angeles), and his control issues aren’t likely to lead to direct RBI’s. However, his control issues could lead to more base runners and an elevated pitch count, forcing the Dodgers to turn to their exhausted and mediocre bullpen earlier.
Shohei Ohtani 1+ Walks (Batter) (+102)
Although Los Angeles manager Dave Roberts reportedly considered benching Ohtani in Game 3 (presumably in favor of Josue De Paula), Ohtani responded with arguably his best game of the series, going one-for-two and drawing a walk. It marked the fourth time in his last five games that he has walked at least once, and he’s drawn at least one free pass in 23 of his 40 postseason games overall. Despite his poor form, Brewers manager Pat Murphy was insistent on pitching carefully to Ohtani, and pitchers have tended to tread carefully with him. He’s always ranked among the league leaders in walks despite his high chase rate because just 45.9% of pitches thrown to him find the zone.
Milwaukee’s relievers had about league-average control during the regular season, ranking 15th in walks allowed. So far these playoffs, they’ve also issued the second-most free passes (although they’ve also pitched the second-most innings). Individually, Drohan’s and May’s walk rates ranked near the league median. Given that he didn’t pitch yesterday, it’s also likely that Aaron Ashby will take the field at some point, and he had just a 20th-percentile walk rate. Ohtani’s walk came against the usually more stable Abner Uribe.
