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J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards Pick for Broncos vs. Seahawks

J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards Pick for Broncos vs. Seahawks

NFL Sports Betting Picks DraftKings Sportsbook Insights

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By: Alex Hunter

The Broncos are hosting the Seahawks for Week 6’s edition of Thursday Night Football. On DraftKings Sportsbook, Seattle is favored by 2.5 points and this game carries a total of 40.5 points.

Let’s dive into the top J.K. Dobbins prop bet for Thursday’s primetime matchup.

J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards Prop Bet for Thursday Night Football

J.K. Dobbins Under 48.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

The oft injured J.K. Dobbins has yet to miss a game this season, but the veteran’s efficiency has fallen off a cliff. After averaging 5.0 yards per carry last season, Dobbins is averaging just 3.6 YPC this season, which ranks 50th among the 73 backs who have seen 20+ rushing attempts. Dobbins ranks 47th in rushing success rate and he is averaging just 45.8 rushing yards per game.

Dobbins has finished with 40 rushing yards or less in three of his five games, and he should have a difficult time facing the Seahawks’ elite defense. Opponents have the sixth-worst rushing success rate when facing Seattle and this defense is giving up the sixth-fewest yards per rush this season (3.7).

Dobbins leads the Broncos with 12.8 carries per game, but him seeing less than that average is very possible tonight, as the Broncos should trail in this contest. Denver is a 2.5-point underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook, and this club deserved to be an even bigger underdog, considering the Broncos rank 24th in EPA per play, compared to the Seahawks, who rank fifth.

Denver likely will be forced into a pass-heavy game plan and Dobbins’ rushing numbers should suffer a result.

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Alex Hunter
Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.