Bills at Vikings NFL Player Prop Bets for Monday Night Football

Closing out the Week 9 NFL slate with a Monday Night Football matchup, the Buffalo Bills will face the Minnesota Vikings. 

Both teams sit near the top of their respective divisions, but each race is far from over. The Bills hold a 6-1 record with a comfortable lead in the AFC East as the Patriots sit behind them at 5-4. The Vikings also hold a 6-1 record and sit atop the NFC North, with the Bears (7-2), Lions (6-2) and Packers (6-3) each right on their heels.

Looking at the odds, the Bills enter as 3.5-point road favorites with -192 Moneyline odds on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Vikings hold +160 odds to pull off the upset, with the game total set at 45.5 points.

There are plenty of ways to get involved beyond just backing a side or total. Let’s take a look at my top three favorite player props for the Week 9 Monday Night Football matchup.

Bills at Vikings NFL Player Prop Bets for Monday Night Football

Josh Allen Over 31.5 Rushing Yards (-113)

Josh Allen has played at an MVP level to start the season, completing 65.9% of his pass attempts for 1,793 passing yards, 11 touchdowns and five interceptions. He has also been dynamic with his legs, recording 55 rushing attempts for 270 yards and nine touchdowns. But this is a difficult matchup against a high-level Vikings defense. Minnesota leads the NFL with just 13.3 points allowed per game. They also rank second in total yards allowed, first in passing yards allowed and first in passing touchdowns allowed.

Brian Flores has built a unique defensive unit that features plenty of confusing blitz looks and deceptive pressures designed to challenge opposing quarterbacks. The Vikings’ ability to generate consistent pressure is the foundation of the entire approach. Minnesota has also had success limiting opposing quarterbacks on the ground, conceding just 11.5 rushing yards per game to the position.

But Allen should be viewed differently than your average NFL quarterback, given his size and willingness to put his body on the line to create opportunities to pick up yards. The four-time Pro Bowler is excellent when facing additional pass rushers and has 19 scrambles for 204 total rushing yards entering the week. This makes up a massive chunk of the 270 rushing yards he has tallied, and he is averaging 38.6 rushing yards per game. Expect Allen to be eager to escape the pocket whenever pressure is heading his way and pick up chunk gains on the ground. Allen has recorded as many as 121 rushing yards in a game and tallied at least five rushing attempts in every game. Expect the Bills’ star to be forced to escape the pass rush and convert this into over 31.5 rushing yards tonight.

Carson Wentz Over 0.5 Interceptions (-120)

Kyler Murray will be sidelined for tonight’s matchup with a hamstring strain, forcing Carson Wentz back into the starting lineup. The former Pro Bowler has been forced into action in two games this season, including getting the start in Week 2. Wentz has completed 23 of his 39 pass attempts (59.0%) for 276 passing yards and three touchdowns.

While he has yet to throw an interception this season, turnovers have been a driving reason why his aspirations as a starting quarterback were cut short. Wentz has thrown 72 career interceptions across his 105 career appearances, including five interceptions in five starts last year with Minnesota.

Given the impressive level at which the Bills’ offense has performed this year, don’t be surprised if the Vikings are forced to play from behind. This is a Buffalo offense that leads the NFL in scoring at 33.3 points per game while also ranking first in total yards gained. If Minnesota is chasing the game, it will only increase the likelihood of Wentz putting the ball in harm’s way. But he takes plenty of risks with the football regardless and should have plenty of chances to air it out. Count on the Bills to take advantage of at least one of his vulnerable throws and come away with an interception.

Justin Jefferson Over 78.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

While there is some downside that comes with Wentz’s willingness to push the ball downfield, it also leaves plays to be made. Justin Jefferson will be the biggest beneficiary of this as the former Offensive Player of the Year attempts to find his stride. It has been a frustrating season for Jefferson, who has pulled in 28 receptions on 40 targets for 335 yards and four touchdowns through the first six games in which he has been available. The four-time Pro Bowler is averaging 4.7 receptions per game for 55.8 receiving yards, both of which are career-low marks.

But this is a great chance to begin trending in the right direction against a Bills defense with plenty of flaws. Buffalo enters this game ranked 24th in points allowed, 23rd in total yards conceded, 30th in passing yards allowed and 30th in passing touchdowns conceded. The Bills have allowed 1,078 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns to opposing wide receivers overall.

Jefferson has shown the ability to produce explosive performances throughout his career, including pulling in 92 yards and two touchdowns against Green Bay. He has also been targeted 10 or more times in four of his five games with Wentz from last season. The Vikings star is on the short list of the best wide receivers in the NFL and is desperate for a quarterback who will allow him to make plays. Expect Wentz to be willing to push the ball downfield at a high rate and for Jefferson to record over 78.5 receiving yards in this favorable matchup.