Prediction, pick for Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Kyle Daukaus at UFC Edmonton

Tonight’s UFC Fight Night at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada features a Middleweight contest between Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Kyle Daukaus on the Main Card. Both fighters have 17 career wins, but Barriault has 11 losses, and Daukaus has five defeats. This is the third fight on the Main Card, which starts at 8:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+. 

Check out my best bet for Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Kyle Daukaus at tonight’s UFC Fight Night below.

Kyle Daukaus to Win by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission (-110)

Daukaus, 33, is coming off a loss to Bo Nickal at the UFC’s Freedom 250 card in June, but it was his first defeat since 2022. Before returning to the UFC in 2025, Daukaus had an excellent run outside the promotion, going 4-0 with three finishes in CFFC. Daukaus’ last win came against Gerald Meerschaert at UFC 322 in November 2025. Barriault has been in the UFC since 2019 and has gone 6-10 in the promotion. He desperately needs a win after back-to-back losses and is 2-5 in his previous six contests. 

In this bout on DraftKings Sportsbook, Daukaus is the favorite at -205, with Barriault being a +170 underdog. The fight’s over/under is set at 2.5 rounds, with the under at -180 and the over at +140. Daukaus is slightly taller (6’2″ vs. 6’1″) with a two-inch edge in standing reach (76″ vs. 74″). 

Barriault lands more significant strikes per minute (5.65 vs. 3.16), but Daukaus has the advantage in striking accuracy (53% vs. 47%), strikes absorbed per minute (2.94 vs. 5.94), and takedowns (1.97 vs. 0.34). Although both are coming off a loss, Daukaus is younger and has found more recent success. 14 of Daukaus’ 17 wins have come by knockout or submission, and his previous four victories have been by finish. I foresee Daukaus as the aggressor in this contest, pressuring Barriault and making him uncomfortable with a flurry of strikes that leads to a finish. You can get Daukaus to win by KO/TKO/DQ or submission at -110.