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Prediction, pick for Rodrigo Sezinando vs. Theodor Berggren at UFC Vegas 123

Prediction, pick for Rodrigo Sezinando vs. Theodor Berggren at UFC Vegas 123

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By: Ryan Wohl

Rodrigo Sezinando faces Theodor Berggren in a three-round Welterweight contest on the prelims at tonight’s UFC Fight Night. Sezinando enters this fight with a 9-2 record and has recorded four knockouts and three submissions. Berggren, 26, is 8-4 and possesses a 100 percent finish rate. 

Check out my best bet below for Rodrigo Sezinando vs. Theodor Berggren at tonight’s UFC Fight Night.

Exact Method of Victory: KO/TKO/DQ (-110)

Sezinando and Berggren are both coming off a knockout loss in their official UFC debuts. Both fighters have also lost to Daniil Donchenko. Before losing to Donchenko in September 2025 at Noche UFC, Sezinando won five consecutive fights from March 2023 to July 2025. Berggren won back-to-back contests by knockout from October 2025 to February 2026 ahead of his UFC debut. 

On DraftKings Sportsbook, Sezinando is the favorite at -180, while Alencar is a +150 underdog. The total is set at 1.5 rounds, with the over at -145 and the under at +114. This bout is -275 not to go the distance and +200 to end by decision. 

In this fight, Berggren is two inches taller (5’11” vs. 5’9″) and has a four-inch reach advantage (75″ vs. 71″). With two fighters coming off a loss, they’ll likely come out aggressive and look for a finish. Although Sezinando has three career submissions, he has favored striking recently, as two of his last three wins have come by knockout. Berggren’s last three bouts have also ended by knockout. You can get this fight to end by KO/TKO/DQ at -110.

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Ryan is a University of Arizona graduate and Philadelphia native. Since 2024, he has been a writer for DraftKings Network, primarily covering combat sports. He is a big Philly sports fan and loves to collect sneakers, as well.
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