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Prediction, pick for Ode Osbourne vs. Cody Durden at UFC Vegas 123

Prediction, pick for Ode Osbourne vs. Cody Durden at UFC Vegas 123

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By: Ryan Wohl

Tonight’s UFC Fight Night Main Card features a Flyweight fight between Ode Osbourne and Cody Durden. Osbourne is 13-9 with 10 finishes, while Durden is 18-11-1 with 12 finishes. The Main Card starts at 8:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+ and will be held at the Meta Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. 

Check out my best bet below for Ode Osbourne vs. Cody Durden at tonight’s UFC Fight Night.

Cody Durden Moneyline (-120)

Durden and Osbourne both have had a rough stretch recently. Osbourne is 2-5 with one draw, while Durden is 2-6 in his previous eight fights. Osbourne’s last victory came against Luis Gurule in April 2025. Durden’s previous win came against Jafel Filho in April, but he lost to Alessandro Costa in July. 

Both fighters are 5’7″, but Osbourne has a six-inch reach advantage (73″ vs. 67″). Durden has the edge over Osbourne in significant strikes per minute (3.27 vs. 2.94), striking accuracy (44% vs. 40%) and defense (51% vs. 49%). On the ground, Durden also lands 2.88 more takedowns per 15 minutes. 

Although both fighters have struggled, I’m backing Durden because of his versatility while having the biggest difference-maker on the ground. If Durden is the aggressor and gets the fight to the ground, he should be able to find success. Durden has won four of his previous five fights when attempting at least four takedowns. In this contest, Durden is a -120 favorite, while Osbourne is a +100 underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook. The over/under is set at 1.5 rounds, with the over at -188 and the under at +145. 

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Ryan is a University of Arizona graduate and Philadelphia native. Since 2024, he has been a writer for DraftKings Network, primarily covering combat sports. He is a big Philly sports fan and loves to collect sneakers, as well.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.