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Prediction, pick for Losene Keita vs. Muhammad Naimov at UFC Paris

Prediction, pick for Losene Keita vs. Muhammad Naimov at UFC Paris

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By: Ryan Wohl

The first bout of today’s UFC Fight Night Main Card is a Featherweight contest between Losene Keita vs. Muhammad Naimov. Keita lost his UFC debut against Nathaniel Wood in March, while Naimov suffered a knockout against Mairon Santos. This event begins with the Prelims at 12:00 p.m. ET, and the Main Card starts at 3:00 p.m. ET. 

Check out my best bet below for Losene Keita vs. Muhammad Naimov at today’s UFC Fight Night in Paris.

Losene Keita to Win by KO/TKO/DQ (-110)

Naimov is 5-2 in the UFC but has gone 2-2 in his previous four contests. His latest victory came against Bogdan Grad in June 2025. Keita is 16-2 with 10 knockouts in his career and is a former Champion in Oktagon, a top European MMA promotion. Before Keita came up short in his UFC debut, he was on a five-fight winning streak and went 16-1 to start his MMA career. 

On DraftKings Sportsbook, Keita is a -380 favorite, with Naimov being a +300 underdog. This contest is +130 to go the distance and -170 to end early. In this contest, Naimov is taller by two inches (5’9″ vs. 5’7″), but Keita has a two-inch reach advantage (72″ vs. 70″). 

After losing in March, I expect to see a more aggressive and explosive version of Keita today against Naimov. Keita still possesses a ton of power in his hands, and if he pressures Naimov in this fight, he should be able to pick up a finish. You can get Keita at -110 to win this fight by KO/TKO/DQ.

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