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World Baseball Classic Best Bets: Top Home Run Props for Tuesday 3/10/26

World Baseball Classic Best Bets: Top Home Run Props for Tuesday 3/10/26

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By: Garion Thorne

Home runs. Long balls. Bleacher reachers. Whatever you want to call them, people love watching and betting on home run props during baseball games. So much so, we’ve got a whole article dedicated to just that.

Here are my top two home run prop picks on DraftKings Sportsbook for Tuesday’s all-important World Baseball Classic slate: Kyle Schwarber and Heliot Ramos.

Top World Baseball Classic Home Run Props

Heliot Ramos 1+ Home Run (+550)

It has not been the kindest weather week in San Juan. Pool A has been plagued by rain delays, while a vicious wind coming in from left field has neutralized quite a bit of right-handed power. That’s part of the reason why Puerto Rico has only managed a single home run across its three games entering play on Tuesday — though that one long ball was a massive extra innings walk-off for Darell Hernaiz (+700). All that said, I think tonight presents as a very nice opportunity for Heliot Ramos to find the seats for the first time in this tournament. Jordan Balazovic will start for Canada, a man who spent all of 2025 in Triple-A for the Tigers. When Balazovic did get his chance at the MLB level as a reliever with Minnesota in 2023, he surrendered a whopping 1.85 opponent home runs per nine over his 18 appearances. Then there’s the Canadians’ bullpen. Not only are relievers the clear weak-spot for Canada at the WBC, but a majority of them are left-handed. That lines up perfectly for Ramos. In his 312 plate appearances versus LHPs since the beginning of 2024, Ramos is slashing .300/.369/.549 with a .249 ISO. He simply crushes southpaws.

Kyle Schwarber 1+ Home Run (+220)

While Italy hasn’t officially named a starter for tonight’s tilt against the USA, it would make sense to save Aaron Nola for what’s lining up as a must-win contest against Mexico on Wednesday. If that’s the case, it’ll be Michael Lorenzen on Tuesday night in Houston, or a bullpen game. Either way, I like Kyle Schwarber to go deep at these odds. The All-Star has been amazing in his three prior games at this World Baseball Classic, slashing .417/.563/.667 with a home run in 16 plate appearances. Schwarber’s also really improved in left-on-left matchups — he managed a .346 ISO and a 162 wRC+ within the split in 2025 — so I have no issue trusting him in a contest where Italy might use five or six different arms. Still, it would be really fun if the Italians did start Lorenzen. While he’d technically be the first MLB-caliber starter that the Americans have seen all tournament, Schwarber’s owned the RHP throughout their careers, producing a pair of home runs and a 1.194 OPS in 24 at-bats. Lorenzen just signed with the Rockies. He’s going to give up so many long balls in 2026. Might as well start that trend a little early at the WBC.

Garion is a Toronto-based writer who has been playing fantasy sports since elementary school. With a particular affinity for advanced statistics and sabermetrics, he’s been covering DFS Baseball, Football and Basketball for DraftKings dating back to 2018. Prior to that, Garion’s work could be found at FNTSY, SportsGrid, HoopsHype, The New York Daily News and Sportsnet.ca. Still, he is a Dolphins fan, so his decision-making can be questioned from time-to-time.
Disclaimer

All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.