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Best NFL Player Prop Bets for Week 3

Best NFL Player Prop Bets for Week 3

Published:

By: Blake Krass

Week 3 of the NFL is full of great matchups. The player prop market is full of different ways to get in on the action.

Without further ado, here are three of the best player props for NFL Week 3, including plays for Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Ashton Jeanty and Derrick Henry.


Best NFL Player Prop Bets and Picks for Week 3

Raiders at Saints: Ashton Jeanty Over 69.5 Rushing Yards (-112)

Ashton Jeanty had a tough rookie season. Jeanty was expected to turn into a superstar right away, as he was such a highly-touted prospect. However, the Las Vegas offense last season was horrific, and specifically the offensive line. That made it a quite disappointing rookie season for Jeanty. However, early on in this season, he is showing signs of being the guy that the Raiders drafted. Steady veteran quarterback play, improved offensive playcalling and a bolstered offensive line have helped Jeanty get more steady in the NFL.

Ashton Jeanty had an incredible Week 1 performance, going for 147 yards from scrimmage and scoring two touchdowns. He was a bit quieter against the Chargers last week, but still recorded 21 carries and four catches. Jeanty has seen 44 carries this season, the fourth-most in the NFL, and has been targeted 11 times in the passing game. Jeanty is the centerpiece of this offense, especially with Brock Bowers sidelined. The Raiders should feed Jeanty again in this game against the Saints. New Orleans ranks 27th in defensive EPA/rush this season, so Jeanty should be able to rush for at least 70 yards against them.

Seahawks at Commanders: Jaxon Smith-Njigba Anytime TD (+100)

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is proving that last year’s Offensive Player of the Year campaign was no fluke. Smith-Njigba looks like the best wide receiver in the NFL for the second straight season. In Week 1, he had eight catches for 122 yards and a touchdown. In Week 2, he had nine catches for 155 yards and three touchdowns. He leads the league in receiving yards per game and is tied for the league lead in receiving touchdowns. That is despite the fact that he hasn’t even had his starting quarterback for most of these first two weeks. It seems like there is a good chance of Sam Darnold returning for this game against the Commanders.

Washington just lost its quarterback to an extended injury for the second straight season. Things could start to get ugly for the Commanders if they are not able to steady the ship fast. There is concern around the offense without Jayden Daniels, but the defense is an even bigger issue. Washington ranks 29th in the NFL in defensive EPA/droback this season. Jaxon Smith-Njigba should shred their secondary apart and score at least one touchdown for the third consecutive game to start this season.

Ravens vs. Cowboys: Derrick Henry 2+ TD Scorer (+205)

Derrick Henry should be in for a big game in Brazil. It seems unlikely that Zay Flowers will play on Sunday, dealing a significant blow to the Ravens’ passing game. Last week, the Ravens got away from their bread-and-butter of giving the ball to Henry in the second half and ended up blowing a lead to the Saints. In Week 1, Derrick Henry had 24 carries, compared to just 16 last week. In addition to the absence of Flowers, there are major question marks around the quality of the field. Between the injuries, the travel and the field quality, it should be in the Ravens’ best interest to keep it simple here.

In Week 1, Derrick Henry had three rushing touchdowns against the Colts. He should be able to similarly gash this Cowboys defense. Dallas ranks 24th in defensive EPA/rush and 29th in defensive rushing success rate this season. Henry had five multi-touchdown games last season, so this is not irregular for him. The last time Henry faced the Cowboys was in 2024, when he rushed for 151 yards and two touchdowns. Henry should dominate the Cowboys again in Brazil.

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Blake Krass has contributed to DraftKings since 2024, and is a content creator with a specialty in sports betting. Blake primarily focuses on college football and NFL coverage but will also be covering college basketball, the NBA, MLB and more. Prior to arriving at DK, Blake was a sports betting writer for The Action Network.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.