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NFL Week 1 Start or Sit: Nick Chubb

NFL Week 1 Start or Sit: Nick Chubb

Published:

By: Alex Hunter

With Joe Mixon (foot) on the NFI list, Chubb sits atop the Texans’ depth chart as the team’s No.1 back heading into the season. However, the 29-year-old veteran who has suffered many major injuries over the last few years is a very weak fantasy asset at this point of his career. In his eight games for the Browns last season, Chubb only rushed for 332 yards and three touchdowns on 102 carries and he wasn’t relevant in the passing game, catching just five of his 11 targets for 31 yards and one touchdown.

After averaging at least 5.0 YPC in his first six seasons in the NFL, Chubb averaged a pathetic 3.3 YPC last season, which was the seventh-worst among the running backs who saw at least 50 carries. Furthermore, Chubb was the seventh-slowest running back based on average speed among the backs that saw at least 50 carries.

The veteran only topped 50 scrimmage yards twice in his eight games and unsurprisingly, Chubb’s fantasy numbers were very underwhelming, with 0.28 FPTS per snap and 8.0 FPTS per game.

Chubb should be in line for double-digit carries in Sunday’s season opener vs. the Rams and this Los Angeles defense gave up the third-most yards per rush last season (4.9). Still, it’s hard to imagine Chubb being effective on the ground and he likely will see minimal snaps on passing downs, with much better receiving backs in Woody Marks and Dare Ogunbowale behind him in this Houston backfield.

Chubb’s only real hope of providing fantasy wise is him scoring some lucky goal line touchdowns, but this isn’t a compelling spot for that, as the Rams yielded the eighth-fewest rushing touchdowns to running backs last season (nine). Unless in an extremely deep league, you almost certainly have a better option than Chubb on your fantasy roster and sitting him is a no-brainer.

Start or Sit: Sit

Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.