NFL DFS Picks: Best DraftKings Fantasy Football Plays for Week 10

Chicago, Denver, Philadelphia and Tampa Bay are all on bye. Will Miami, Indianapolis and Tennessee even try? Kenneth Walker III is questionable, so it may be time for Emmett Johnson to shine. While he did not impress at the combine, Johnson’s play so far in the NFL has been simply divine. Kirk Cousins returns to Minnesota, where he spent six seasons. All he has to do is pepper Justin Jefferson with completions.

Fernando Mendoza takes the reins in Las Vegas. Unfortunately, he has to face the Seattle Seahawks defense, a matchup that is most disadvantageous. Kyle McCord will start for Miami. Dolphins fans may be chanting, “No whammies! No whammies!” In Arizona, both Carson Beck and Matthew Stafford are missing receivers. With a 39.5-point total, there don’t seem to be many believers.

We’ve got 10 games on Sunday’s main slate. Three of them have a three-point spread or less on DraftKings Sportsbook. Five games have a total of at least 45 points, with SF-DAL the highest at 55.5. Two games have a total fewer than 40 points: MIA-IND and LAR-ARI.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL $2.5M Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st].

Quarterback

Stud

Dak Prescott vs. San Francisco 49ers ($6,400)

The San Francisco 49ers have the highest implied total on the slate (29.75), but where will the points come from? The Dallas defense is porous against both the run and pass, so the rushing attack could take precedence. If the Cowboys score, it will likely come from Prescott’s arm; the 49ers have one of the best run defenses in the league, allowing only 3.3 yards per carry and 80.9 rushing yards per game, along with just four rushing touchdowns. While the 49ers pass defense has been strong overall, it has allowed a 67.1% completion rate and has given up big games to Jacoby Brissett and Jayden Daniels.

Other Options – Josh Allen ($7,500), Brock Purdy ($7,000), Jordan Love ($6,500)

Value

Tyler Shough vs. Carolina Panthers ($5,600)

I like Bryce Young in this one as well. The total is a lofty 48.5 points, the game will be played on the fast track of the Superdome, and both teams are top six in passing rate. Carolina blitzes at the fourth-highest rate but is only 17th in pressure rate, and its 12 sacks are tied for the fewest in the league. Shough has put up double-digit FPTS in all but one game this season, with four performances over 20 FPTS.

Other Options – Bryce Young ($5,800), Drew Lock ($5,000), Geno Smith ($4,800)

Running Back

Stud

Christian McCaffrey at Dallas Cowboys ($8,500)

We won’t be getting vintage, break-the-slate CMC, but the 70% version is still pretty, pretty good. After being limited to 15 carries for most of the season, McCaffrey got 18 rush attempts last week in a game the 49ers had well in hand. He’s scored at least one rushing touchdown in every game except Week 1. This matchup is also one of the juiciest for fantasy, as Dallas allows 5.0 yards per carry and 147.4 yards per game, tied for the fourth-most rushing touchdowns allowed (11). The Cowboys have also allowed the fifth-most FPTS to opposing running backs. McCaffrey has posted double-digit FPTS in every game this season, with five over 20 and a season-high 31.7. This game has a whopping 55.5-point total; if it becomes a back-and-forth affair, a ceiling outcome is well within range, especially given CMC’s participation in the passing game. In Week 6, he caught nine of 10 targets for 53 yards.

Other Options – James Cook III ($7,400), Chuba Hubbard ($7,200), Kyren Williams ($7,100), Bhayshul Tuten ($6,600)

Value

Emmett Johnson at Atlanta Falcons ($4,700)

After impressing in training camp, Johnson received 30% of the snaps from the outset. He hasn’t disappointed. Despite limited usage, he has a rushing touchdown and a receiving score over the last two games. In Week 8, he posted a season-high 28.3 FPTS, catching all five targets for 128 yards and a touchdown. He may now get a shot at the bellcow role since Kenneth Walker III is questionable with a groin injury. Atlanta has allowed 4.4 yards per carry, 118.8 yards per game and 10 rushing touchdowns.

Other Options – Zach Charbonnet ($5,600), Blake Corum ($5,100), Audric Estime ($4,500) [if Travis Etienne is out]

Wide Receiver

Stud

Chris Olave vs. Carolina Panthers ($7,000)

Well, if I like Shough to have a good game, you best believe I’m rolling with Olave, who leads the Saints with 83 targets. He’s put up double-digit FPTS in all but one contest, although he hasn’t hit 20 FPTS since Week 4. To open the season, Olave went for over 20 FPTS four times, with a high of 31.2 FPTS. It’s time to make it five.

Other Options – Jaxon Smith-Njigba ($9,300), CeeDee Lamb ($8,800), Christian Watson ($7,700), Matthew Golden ($7,300), Justin Jefferson ($6,800), Tetairoa McMillan ($6,700), Garrett Wilson ($6,500) if he starts, Rashee Rice ($6,100)

Value

Konata Mumpfield at Arizona Cardinals ($4,000)

The game plan will likely call for plenty of two- and three-tight-end sets with tons of rushing attempts for the Rams. That said, Matthew Stafford will still likely throw at least 20 times; his season-low is 25. With no Puka Nacua or Davante Adams, Mumpfield could soak up many of the vacated targets. Back in Week 3, with Nacua out, Adams received 13 targets while Mumpfield got eight. Mumpfield caught four of them for 93 yards, a touchdown, and 19.3 FPTS.

Other Options – DJ Moore ($5,800), Jalen Coker ($5,700), Deebo Samuel Sr. ($5,500), Jordyn Tyson ($5,000), Josh Downs ($4,700), Keon Coleman ($4,600), Tank Dell ($3,900), Jordan Watkins ($3,800)

Tight End

Stud

George Kittle at Dallas Cowboys ($6,500)

Deebo Samuel is back for this one, giving Brock Purdy another reliable target in the passing game. That said, Kittle will still likely remain the No. 1 option, especially since Samuel hasn’t played since Week 5. Over the last three games, Kittle has received eight, 10, and seven targets. He’s put up double-digit FPTS five times this season, with a high of 26.2 FPTS. There should be plenty of opportunities for fantasy goodies in this one.

Other Options – Tyler Higbee ($4,200)

Value

Colby Parkinson at Arizona Cardinals ($3,000)

With Nacua and Adams injured, the Rams have often employed plenty of two- and three-tight-end sets. Parkinson has played around 70% of the snaps for most of the season and has seen four, six and six targets in his last three games. He also got two red-zone looks last week. While his fantasy production has been limited in that span, he found the end zone in Week 6 for 14.1 FPTS. Parkinson is cheap and should see around five to six targets in this one. Arizona has allowed the ninth-most FPTS to the position.

Other Options – AJ Barner ($3,900), Darren Waller ($3,600)

Defense/Special Teams

Stud

Rams D/ST at Arizona Cardinals ($3,800)

Carson Beck is making his NFL debut against a Rams defense that has picked off seven passes and allowed the seventh-lowest passer rating (82.3). Myles Garrett is questionable for this one, but is expected to play. He returned in Week 9 and racked up three sacks and a forced fumble. Arizona has the 30th-ranked offensive line per PFF.

Other Options – Jaguars ($4,000), Seahawks ($3,300), Chiefs ($3,200)

Value

Browns D/ST vs. Houston Texans ($2,500)

The Browns have racked up 26 sacks and 12 turnovers. They’ve allowed the second-lowest completion rate (59.6%) and rank 10th in opponent passer rating (84.6). Houston’s offensive line ranks 31st, per PFF.

Other Options – Packers ($2,900), Vikings ($2,800)