First Touchdown Scorer Prop Bets for Bills vs. Vikings on Monday Night Football

We’ve got a battle of titans on Monday Night Football — that thankfully does not involve the actual Titans.

The 6-1 Bills will travel to Minnesota to cap off Week 9 against the 6-1 Vikings. However, that’s sort of where the similarities end. Buffalo is a team defined by its explosive offense and generational quarterback play. Meanwhile, the Vikings are where they are because of Brian Flores’ impressive defense. Heck, it almost doesn’t even matter than Carson Wentz (+6000) is starting over Kyler Murray (hamstring) this week. That’s never a great sign for projecting a team’s point-scoring ability.

With all that in mind, let’s break down the first touchdown scorer market on the DraftKings Sportsbook and make a couple of picks for tonight’s action on the gridiron.

Bills vs. Vikings First Touchdown Scorer Odds

Bills vs. Vikings First Touchdown Scorer Picks

Josh Allen First TD Scorer (+550)

Here’s a very telling stat about how the Bills conduct their offense near the goal line. Despite Buffalo leading the NFL in red zone scoring drives per game (4.3) and touchdowns per game (3.9), Josh Allen only ranks 20th among all QBs in passing attempts inside the 20-yard line (30). When the Bills get close to the end zone, they are far more likely to try and break the plane with a rushing attempt — whether that be Allen himself or James Cook (+500). That’s probably why both men simultaneously sit top 10 in the league in rushing touchdowns. So, how should you choose between the two? First and foremost, Allen’s odds being slightly longer are alluring. As is the fact that Allen has seen 10 carries inside the opponent’s five-yard line in comparison to Cook’s six. Allen is the all-time leader in rushing touchdowns for a quarterback (88). He’s rushed for a TD in all but one game this season. To me, he’s the easy lean.

Jordan Mason First TD Scorer (+1100)

The Vikings have had such trouble moving the ball, that I almost doubled up with another Bills pick. However, it is notable how much opposing RBs have found the end zone against Buffalo this season. Through seven games, the Bills have conceded seven rushing touchdowns and three receiving touchdowns to running backs — which is among the highest figures in the league. Mason won’t really be all that involved as a pass catcher, but in every game he’s been active for since Week 1, he’s led Minnesota in rushing attempts. In the three contests he’s played, he’s also out-carried Aaron Jones (+1400) in the red zone, with Mason seeing six attempts inside the 20 and Jones only seeing four. Relying on any Vikings player to find pay dirt has been foolish the past two months, but if I had to back someone, it would be Mason at these odds.