D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Pick for Bills vs. Vikings

Closing out the NFL’s Week 9 slate, D.J. Moore and the Buffalo Bills will face the Minnesota Vikings on Monday Night Football.

The Bills sit atop the AFC East with their 6-1 record to start the year. However, they will be tested against a tough Minnesota defense with plenty of football still left to play.

Looking at the odds for MNF, the Bills enter as 3.5-point road favorites with -198 moneyline odds on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Vikings are +164 to pull off the upset, with the game total set at 45.5 points.

There are plenty of ways to get involved on DraftKings Sportsbook. You can also check out game previews and plenty more on DraftKings Network. But for now, let’s look at my top D.J. Moore prop bet for this matchup.

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Pick vs. Vikings

D.J. Moore Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

The Buffalo Bills made an offseason trade to add D.J. Moore as a top receiving option for Josh Allen. Moore has battled a shoulder injury that he initially suffered in Week 2 and re-aggravated in Week 4. Across his five appearances this season, Moore has caught 16 passes on 27 targets for 260 yards and two touchdowns. He is averaging 52 receiving yards per game and has topped 47.5 receiving yards in three contests. Both games he finished below the mark were the contests he exited early due to injury.

This is a difficult matchup against a strong Vikings defense. Minnesota enters this matchup allowing the fewest points to opponents at 13.3 per contest. They rank second in total yards allowed per game and lead the NFL with the fewest opponent passing yards and pass TDs. Minnesota has also held opposing quarterbacks to the third-fewest yards per pass attempt (6.2).

But the Vikings have not faced an offense as dynamic as the Bills’ top-ranked scoring attack. Moore no longer has an injury designation, and he has also had historical success when playing indoors. Across 30 indoor games, the 29-year-old has averaged 70.7 yards per game with 14 touchdowns. 

Injuries have limited his output this year, but expectations when he arrived in Buffalo were that Moore would be a primary receiving threat. While you cannot dispute the Vikings’ defensive success, much of their approach is built on pressuring the quarterback. Allen’s ability to extend plays with his legs changes the equation, and many of the Bills’ big plays come in these situations.

In the three games Moore has been fully healthy for, he’s caught 15 passes on 25 targets for 249 yards — or 83 yards per game. Even with the Vikings’ defense in mind, the 47.5-yard receiving line feels far too low. Expect Allen to lean on his top threat at a high rate and for Moore to record at least 48 receiving yards in primetime.