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Vikings vs. Bills NFL DFS Value Picks for Monday Night Football

Vikings vs. Bills NFL DFS Value Picks for Monday Night Football

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By: Alex Hunter

The Vikings are hosting the Bills for Week 9’s edition of Monday Night Football. On DraftKings Sportsbook, Buffalo is favored by three points and this game carries a total of 44.5 points.

DraftKings is offering some huge Showdown contests for this matchup. Below, I have featured two of my favorite NFL DFS value plays to consider for this Showdown slate.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL Showdown $1.25M Monday Night Showdown [$300K to 1st] (BUF @ MIN)

Vikings vs. Bills NFL DFS Value Picks for Monday Night Football

TE T.J. Hockenson, Minnesota Vikings ($8,100 CPT, $5,400 FLEX)

Hockenson is in the midst of a strong season, ranking as the No.10 tight end for fantasy football heading into Week 9. The veteran has supplied 13+ FPTS in 4-of-7 games. Hockenson is seeing an 18.7% target share and he is averaging 2.2 YPRR, both of which rank top-10 among the tight ends who have logged at least 25% of their team’s snaps. Hockenson has garnered eight redzone targets and he has scored three touchdowns, one of which came from Carson Wentz.

With Kyler Murray (hamstring) out, Wentz will start tonight, which is a boost for the entire Vikings’ offense. With Wentz on the field this season, Minnesota is averaging 0.34 EPA per pass compared to 0.024 with Murray. In terms of passer rating, Wentz sits at 106.4, which is far better than Murray at 86.6.

Hockenson should benefit from having Wentz under center and this is a plus matchup, as opponents have the eighth-highest passing success rate in the NFL when facing the Bills. Buffalo has allowed a tight end to score double-digit FPTS in five of its last six and Hockenson is my No. 1 value on this Showdown slate and is very much in play at Captain.

K Tyler Bass, Buffalo Bills ($6,900 CPT, $4,600 FLEX)

This Showdown slate severely lacks appealing punt plays and taking the guaranteed points with Bass makes a ton of sense for this matchup. While the kicker has missed two extra points, Bass is a perfect 16-for-16 on field goals this season, including seven attempts from 40+ yards.

Facing the Vikings’ league-best defense, Bass should be busy tonight. Minnesota is giving up touchdowns at the lowest clip in the league this season, so the Bills should be forced to kick many field goals.

Bass has scored 13+ FPTS in three straight games and he should have a similar output on Monday Night Football.

More on this game

Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

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