A pair of 6-1 teams square off on Monday night, as Josh Allen and Buffalo circle the wagons and head to Minnesota.
Minnesota will be without starting QB Kyler Murray, who has been ruled out with a hamstring injury. Instead, Carson Wentz will take his place under center in this one. Wentz has appeared twice with one start, going 23-of-39 for 276 yards, three touchdowns, no interceptions and a 106.4 rating.
This matchup will feature a battle of strength on strength, as Buffalo’s prolific offense (33.3 points per game, more than any team in football) against Minnesota’s stout defense (93 points allowed, fewer than any team in football). Minnesota’s defense is doing everything a defense can do: 25 sacks, eight interceptions, a 64.9 passer rating allowed, opponents converting 29.7% of third downs and scoring on four of 16 red zone trips. The issue is on the offensive side of the ball, where Minnesota ranks 26th in scoring at 20.0 points per game, has reached goal-to-go seven times in seven games, and has notched three rushing touchdowns.
On the Buffalo side, Allen enters with 11 passing touchdowns against five interceptions, plus nine rushing scores, tied for the second-most of any player in the league. James Cook III is averaging 101.0 rushing yards per game and has 40 rushing first downs. Buffalo has 27 touchdowns and is a perfect 16-for-16 on field goals. But, Buffalo also allows 25.9 points per game, good for 24th in the NFL.
Here’s a look at some of the notable markets on DraftKings Predictions for the Buffalo and Minnesota ahead of tonight’s Monday Night showdown.
Notable Buffalo and Minnesota Markets on DraftKings Predictions
Monday Night’s Game Markets
Pricing reflects market sentiment. Subject to change.
Stats
- Both teams are 6-1 through seven games; Buffalo leads the AFC East and Minnesota has the best winning percentage in the NFC North
- Buffalo prices at 63% in the To Win market and Minnesota at 39%, the widest split on the board
- The spread market is closer, Minnesota 54% and Buffalo 47%, and the total market sits at 54% under and 47% over
- Buffalo’s 33.3 points per game are the most in the NFL; Minnesota’s 13.3 points allowed per game are the fewest
- Buffalo allows 25.9 points per game, which ranks 24th; Minnesota averages 20.0, which ranks 26th
- Buffalo has 27 touchdowns — 16 rushing and 11 passing; Minnesota has 12, including three rushing and one punt return
- Buffalo converts 44.2% of third downs (34-for-77); Minnesota converts 36.0% (36-for-100) and its defense allows 29.7% (27-for-91)
- Buffalo has scored on 21 of 30 red zone trips (70.0%); Minnesota has scored on nine of 16 (56.3%), and Minnesota’s defense has allowed four scores on 16 trips (25.0%)
- Minnesota has 11 takeaways against five giveaways; Buffalo has nine takeaways against 11 giveaways
- Minnesota’s defense has 25 sacks, eight interceptions, 41 tackles for loss and a 64.9 opponent passer rating; Buffalo’s has 15 sacks, four interceptions, 32 tackles for loss and a 96.3 opponent rating
- Buffalo averages 8.7 yards per pass attempt and 4.79 per carry; Minnesota averages 6.7 and 4.01, and has allowed 21 sacks
- Buffalo has 167 first downs to Minnesota’s 109
- Buffalo is 16-for-16 on field goals; Minnesota is 18-for-20 with six makes from 50 yards or longer
- Greg Rousseau leads Buffalo with seven sacks and 22 quarterback hits; Andrew Van Ginkel has 6.5 and Dallas Turner 6.0 for Minnesota
Source: Sportradar NFL
TD Scorer Markets
Pricing reflects market sentiment. Subject to change.
Stats
- Josh Allen tops the anytime board at 52% and has nine rushing touchdowns, tied for second-most in the NFL, on 16 red zone carries
- James Cook III prices at 49% with seven rushing touchdowns, tied for eighth in the league, on 27 red zone carries
- Cook has 707 rushing yards (fifth), 101.0 per game (third), 40 rushing first downs (fourth) and 10 broken tackles
- Justin Jefferson is at 41% with four receiving touchdowns, tied for 16th in the NFL, on 28 catches for 335 yards in six games with seven red zone targets
- Jordan Mason and T.J. Hockenson are both at 33%, the only tie inside the board’s top five
- Mason has one touchdown on 38 carries for 147 yards across three games, none of them starts, with six red zone carries
- Hockenson has three touchdowns on 31 catches for 295 yards and seven red zone targets, the most on Minnesota
- Aaron Jones Sr., DJ Moore and Jordan Addison all price at 28%
- Jones has two touchdowns and 458 rushing yards, 17th in the league, on 11 red zone carries
- Moore has two touchdowns on 16 catches for 260 yards in five games with Buffalo, including a 43-yard score, with five red zone targets
- Addison has one touchdown on 16 catches for 249 yards and zero red zone targets in six games
- Dalton Kincaid is at 27% with two touchdowns on 27 catches for 401 yards and six red zone targets
- Khalil Shakir prices at 25% with one touchdown on 27 catches for 354 yards and eight red zone targets, the most on Buffalo
- Keon Coleman is at 22% with three touchdowns on 20 catches for 287 yards at 14.35 per catch
- Buffalo has reached goal-to-go 19 times and scored on 15; Minnesota has reached it seven times and scored on six
- Buffalo has allowed seven rushing touchdowns and 15 passing; Minnesota has allowed four and four
- Minnesota has three rushing touchdowns and eight passing touchdowns in seven games; Buffalo has 16 and 11
Source: Sportradar NFL
Pass Yards O/U Markets
Pricing reflects market sentiment. Subject to change.
Stats
- Josh Allen’s line sits at 231.5 yards and he averages 256.1 per game, 10th in the NFL, with the market split 54% over and 54% under
- Allen leads the league in yards per attempt at 8.7, ranks seventh in passer rating at 101.1 and ninth in completion percentage at 65.9%
- Allen has 1,793 passing yards with 11 touchdowns, five interceptions, 79 passing first downs and 13 sacks taken
- Carson Wentz’s line sits at 212.5, also 54% over and 54% under, and he averages 138.0 across two appearances and one start
- Wentz is 23-of-39 for 276 yards with three touchdowns, no interceptions and a 106.4 rating, with a 39-yard touchdown as his longest completion
- Wentz’s 212.5 line sits above both his own 138.0 average and Minnesota’s team average of 185.4 gross passing yards per game
- Kyler Murray has been ruled out with a hamstring injury; he started six games and threw for 1,022 yards with five touchdowns, three interceptions and an 86.6 rating
- Murray was sacked 15 times, tied for 18th-most in the league
- Minnesota averages 6.7 yards per pass attempt as a team and has allowed 21 sacks for 139 yards
- Minnesota’s defense allows 6.2 yards per attempt and a 64.9 passer rating with eight interceptions; Buffalo’s allows 7.0 and 96.3 with four
- Buffalo has 1,793 gross passing yards and 1,713 net; Minnesota has 1,298 gross and 1,159 net
- Buffalo’s receivers have 920 yards after the catch to Minnesota’s 574
- Minnesota’s defense has forced 19 three-and-outs; Buffalo’s has forced 17
- Buffalo has 28 red zone targets to Minnesota’s 23
Source: Sportradar NFL
Rush Yards O/U Markets
Pricing reflects market sentiment. Subject to change.
Stats
- James Cook III’s line sits at 86.5 yards and he averages 101.0 per game, third in the NFL, with the market at 55% under and 53% over
- Cook has 138 carries for 707 yards at 5.12 per attempt with seven touchdowns, a 35-yard long and 244 yards after contact
- Jordan Mason’s line sits at 47.5, split 53% both ways, and he averages 49.0 on 38 carries for 147 yards in three games at 3.87 per attempt
- Josh Allen’s line sits at 31.5, split 54% both ways, and he averages 38.6 on 55 carries for 270 yards at 4.91 per attempt with nine touchdowns and 19 scrambles
- Aaron Jones Sr.’s line also sits at 31.5, at 55% under and 53% over, and he averages 65.4, 15th in the league, on 110 carries for 458 yards with 20 rushing first downs
- Jones’ 65.4 average sits 33.9 yards above his line, the widest gap between average and threshold on the board
- Carson Wentz’s line sits at 7.5; he has eight carries for five yards
- Ray Davis’ line sits at 5.5; he has 11 carries for 42 yards in seven games with no starts
- Buffalo has 217 carries for 1,039 yards at 4.79 per attempt with 16 touchdowns and 46 red zone carries
- Minnesota has 199 carries for 797 yards at 4.01 per attempt with three touchdowns and 21 red zone carries
- Buffalo’s defense allows 3.85 yards per carry and 682 rushing yards; Minnesota’s allows 4.54 and 817
- Minnesota’s defense has 41 tackles for loss to Buffalo’s 32
- Buffalo has 68 rushing first downs to Minnesota’s 37
- Minnesota has lost 54 yards on 14 runs stopped behind the line; Buffalo has lost 28 on 15
Source: Sportradar NFL
Rec Yards O/U Markets
Pricing reflects market sentiment. Subject to change.
Stats
- Justin Jefferson’s line sits at 76.5 yards and he averages 55.8, the highest number on Minnesota’s board, on 28 catches from 40 targets for 335 yards and four touchdowns in six games
- DJ Moore’s line sits at 45.5 and he averages 52.0 on 16 catches for 260 yards and two touchdowns in five games with Buffalo
- Moore’s 16.2 yards per reception rank eighth in the NFL, the highest mark of any player on this board
- Jordan Addison’s line sits at 41.5 and he averages 41.5 on 16 catches for 249 yards at 15.6 per catch, 15th in the league, with a 51-yard long
- Khalil Shakir’s line sits at 39.5, one of two markets on the board priced at 55% on the over along with Hockenson’s, and he averages 50.6 on 27 catches for 354 yards
- Shakir has 254 yards after the catch, tied for 14th in the league, and a 57-yard long
- Dalton Kincaid’s line also sits at 39.5 and he averages 57.3, the highest number on Buffalo’s board, on 27 catches for 401 yards at 14.9 per catch, 20th in the NFL
- T.J. Hockenson’s line sits at 38.5 and he averages 42.1 on 31 catches from 37 targets, the most on Minnesota, for 295 yards and three touchdowns
- Keon Coleman’s line sits at 25.5 and he averages 41.0 on 20 catches for 287 yards and three touchdowns at 14.35 per catch
- Ty Johnson’s line sits at 16.5 and he averages 34.8 on 15 catches from 15 targets for 174 yards with a 40-yard long in five games
- Aaron Jones Sr.’s line sits at 9.5 and he averages 12.9 on 15 catches for 90 yards
- Dawson Knox’s line sits at 8.5 and he averages 6.0 on nine catches for 42 yards and one touchdown in seven starts
- James Cook III’s line sits at 8.5 and he averages 15.7 on 12 catches for 110 yards
- Skyler Bell’s line sits at 6.5; he has no catches on three targets in two games
- Ben Yurosek’s line sits at 1.5 and he averages 11.3 on two catches for 34 yards in three games
- Jauan Jennings, who carried an 8.5-yard threshold on the opening board, no longer appears in the market
- Buffalo has 135 catches on 193 targets for 1,793 yards and 11 touchdowns; Minnesota has 123 on 181 for 1,298 and eight
- Buffalo has 10 dropped passes to Minnesota’s 11
Source: Sportradar NFL
DraftKings Sports FAQ
DraftKings Sports is a unified offering from DraftKings, branded DraftKings Sports & Casino, bringing together Sportsbook, Predictions, Casino and Lottery into one seamless, integrated experience through a single account and wallet, with access tailored to each jurisdiction.
Who can get in on the action with DraftKings Sportsbook?
Anyone 21 or older, with a valid U.S. Social Security Number, and who is physically located in applicable states (see the full list HERE) can bet on DraftKings Sportsbook.
What can you bet on with DraftKings Sportsbook?
DraftKings Sportsbook offers a huge range of betting options across dozens of American and international sports, including NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL and more. You’ll find parlays, same-game parlays, live in-game betting and player props.
What is DraftKings Predictions?
DraftKings Predictions allows eligible customers to trade on real-world outcomes across a wide range of markets, such as sports, crypto, finance, politics, and more. DraftKings Predictions is a CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant and Member of the National Futures Association
How do you trade on DraftKings Predictions?
To trade on DraftKings Predictions:
- Find a market — Browse questions on real-world events such as sports, crypto and more.
- Make a prediction — Just pick yes or no to invest in your knowledge.
- Manage your positions — Buy more, sell, or hold until the market pays out the correct predictions.
Where is DraftKings Predictions available?
Anyone 18 or older who successfully completes identity and eligibility verification and is physically located in applicable states or US territories (see the full list HERE) can trade on DraftKings Predictions.
This is not trading advice. All information and publications, including this specific material, used and distributed by GUS III LLC d/b/a DraftKings Predictions (“DraftKings Predictions”) shall not be construed as a research report. DraftKings Predictions does not distribute research reports, employ research analysts, or maintain a research department as defined in CFTC Regulation 1.71. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Event Contract Trading is offered by DraftKings Predictions, a CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant and NFA member. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Market availability varies.
