The Louisville Cardinals host the Florida State Seminoles in a high-profile ACC matchup. The game will kick off at 7:00 p.m. ET in Louisville, Kentucky.
Louisville is a 3.5-point favorite against Florida State on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Seminoles are +150 to pull off the upset.
Louisville vs. Florida State Player Prop Best Bets
Lincoln Kienholz 250+ Passing Yards (+102)
Lincoln Kienholz has put up huge numbers over the first weeks of the season. He has thrown for at least 250 passing yards in four out of five games so far. Kienholz should keep that streak going against Florida State. The Seminoles rank 100th in the nation in defensive EPA/pass. Against the Seminoles this season, Keelon Russell threw for 320 yards, Kevin Jennings threw for 430 yards and even New Mexico State quarterback Trey Hedden threw for 272 yards.
Any serious passing attack that has faced the Seminoles has performed well. The Louisville offense ranks 28th in the nation in EPA/play. Kienholz ranks 15th in the nation in passing yards. This is certainly a serious passing attack and Kienholz should clear this number against the Seminoles.
Ashton Daniels 2+ Rushing Touchdowns (+265)
It has not been an ideal start to the season for Florida State. The Seminoles have a 3-2 record and would drop to .500 if they lose this game. Part of that is due to the struggles of Ashton Daniels at quarterback. Daniels has a 6-6 TD-INT ratio and has had some dreadful passing games. However, last week against Virginia, Daniels decided to stick with what he can do best, and that is run the football.
Ashton Daniels ran the ball a season-high 17 times last week. Daniels went for 136 yards on the ground and scored a remarkable five rushing touchdowns, a single-game Florida State record. In this game against Louisville, Florida State should try to run the ball whenever possible. Daniels can use his legs, and Florida State can get the ball to its two strong running backs. The Seminoles should also try to keep the ball away from Lincoln Kienholz in this tough road game.
At odds of +265, there is a lot of value on Daniels rushing for multiple scores in this game. Of course, he rushed for five touchdowns last week, but he also rushed for two scores three weeks ago against Alabama. When the Seminoles get into the red zone, they will want to limit mistakes from Daniels, and the best way to do that is to get him on the move and running the football.