Looking for Florida State Seminoles vs. Louisville Cardinals betting trends and odds? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Point Spread, Total and Moneyline betting percentages, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before kickoff on Friday.
Florida State vs. Louisville Best Picks Today
- Louisville -3.5 (-112): The sharpest divide on the board. Louisville draws only 39% of Point Spread tickets but 70% of the handle, while Florida State’s 61% ticket majority accounts for just 30% of the money.
- Over 59.5 (-112): The Over holds 92% of the Total handle on 61% of tickets. Louisville averages 486.0 yards per game and allows 423.0, so both sides of this matchup point toward points.
- Lincoln Kienholz Passing Yards 240+ (-123): Kienholz averages 278.8 passing yards per game, giving this line nearly 40 yards of cushion.
Game Info
| Kickoff | Friday, October 9 at 7:00 PM ET |
| Venue | L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Louisville, KY |
| TV | ESPN |
Florida State vs. Louisville Odds
| Market | Cardinals (Home) | Seminoles (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Point Spread | -3.5 (-112) | +3.5 (-108) |
| Total | Over 59.5 (-112) | Under 59.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -180 | +150 |
DraftKings Betting Trends
| Market | Side | Bets % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Spread | Louisville -3.5 | 39% | 70% |
| Point Spread | Florida State +3.5 | 61% | 30% |
| Total | Over 59.5 | 61% | 92% |
| Total | Under 59.5 | 39% | 8% |
| Moneyline | Louisville | 71% | 94% |
| Moneyline | Florida State | 29% | 6% |
The public likes Florida State with the points, but the money disagrees. Louisville carries 70% of the point-spread handle on 39% of tickets and 94% of the Moneyline handle, a clear lean from larger bettors toward the home favorite.
QB Matchup
| Stat | Lincoln Kienholz (LOU) | Ashton Daniels (FSU) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Comp% | 69.1% | 60.3% |
| Pass YPG | 278.8 | 222.2 |
| TD/INT | 9/1 | 6/6 |
| QBR | 173.2 | 147.5 |
Team Comparison
| Stat | LOU | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 38.6 | 33.2 |
| Points Allowed/Game | 29.2 | 21.6 |
| Yards/Game | 486.0 | 419.0 |
| Yards Allowed/Game | 423.0 | 384.8 |
| 3rd Down % | 44.8% | 42.6% |
| Turnovers | 4 | 7 |
Key Matchup Numbers
- Ball security favors Louisville: Kienholz has thrown nine touchdowns against one interception, while Ashton Daniels has six of each. Florida State has committed seven turnovers, while Louisville has committed four.
- Both run games travel: Louisville rushes for 198.6 yards per game and Florida State for 194.0, and neither defense has been stingy, allowing 423.0 and 384.8 total yards per game.
- Louisville’s defense is the soft spot: The Cardinals allow 29.2 points per game, the most in this matchup, which helps explain why 92% of the Total handle sits on the Over despite a 59.5 number.
DraftKings Player Props
- Lincoln Kienholz (LOU) Passing Yards 240+ (-123): sits well below his 278.8 average with a 69.1% completion rate
- Isaac Brown (LOU) Rushing Yards 67+ (-118): the lead back in a run game producing 198.6 yards per game
- Ousmane Kromah (FSU) Rushing Yards 80+ (-122): Florida State runs for 194.0 yards per game against a defense allowing 423.0 total yards
- Ashton Daniels (FSU) Rushing Yards 50+ (-123): the dual-threat option in the Seminoles’ ground-heavy attack
- Duce Robinson (FSU) Receiving Yards 55+ (-121): the featured target in an offense throwing for 225.0 yards per game
- Lawayne McCoy (LOU) Receiving Yards 52+ (-120): a key piece of a passing game averaging 287.4 yards per game
Featured Parlays
FAQs
What are the Florida State vs. Louisville odds this week?
Louisville is a 3.5-point favorite at DraftKings Sportsbook, with the Point Spread set at Louisville -3.5 (-112). The Total is set at 59.5, and Louisville is -180 on the Moneyline while Florida State is +150.
What are CFB betting trends?
Betting trends show how the public is wagering on a game by breaking down the percentage of total bets (tickets) and total money (handle) on each side of a market. They help identify which side recreational bettors favor versus where larger, potentially sharper money is landing.
What is the difference between bets and handle?
Bets refer to the number of individual tickets placed, while handle represents the total dollar amount wagered. A side with low bet percentage but high handle percentage suggests fewer bettors placing larger wagers, often interpreted as sharp or professional action.
How do betting trends identify sharp money?
Sharp money refers to wagers placed by professional or highly informed bettors. Handle-vs-bet discrepancies typically identify it: when a side draws a disproportionate share of money relative to its ticket count, sharps are likely involved.