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Prediction, pick for Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan at UFC Vegas 122

Prediction, pick for Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan at UFC Vegas 122

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By: Cooper Albers

Welterweight veteran Niko Price makes his final walk to the Octagon on Saturday night, facing prospect Leon Shahbazyan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan inside the Meta APEX.

Price (16–11, 8–11 UFC [2 NC]) hopes to go out on top after dropping his last four fights, including a first-round submission loss to Michael Chiesa in March. Shahbazyan (12–5, 0–1 UFC) will look to rebound from a brutal promotional debut, getting stopped inside 30 seconds by Levan Chokheli in June. 

Shahbazyan enters as a -142 moneyline favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook. Price is a +120 underdog, with the fight total set at O/U 1.5 rounds.

Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan Fight Preview

Niko Price

  • 16–11 (8–11 UFC, 2 NC)
  • 10–6 (T)KO
  • 3–3 SUB

Niko Price looks to wrap up a turbulent UFC career on Saturday night. The Florida native, 37, has dropped four straight fights heading into his retirement bout, including three straight stoppage losses. Two of those defeats came by submission, an alarming sign against a formidable grappler in Leon Shahbazyan. 

That said, “The Hybrid” arrives in Las Vegas with unmatched Octagon experience and a superior strength of schedule. But given his compromised durability — nine of his 11 career losses have come inside the distance — a fairytale ending for Price could be hard to come by.

Leon Shahbazyan

  • 12–5 (0–1 UFC)
  • 1–5 (T)KO
  • 11–0 SUB

Leon Shahbazyan’s UFC debut was a disaster. After getting knocked out in under 30 seconds in his 2019 appearance on Dana White’s Contender Series, the Armenian contender worked his way back to MMA’s biggest stage earlier this year — only to get knocked out in under 30 seconds again by Levan Chokheli.

The 30-year-old big brother of middleweight contender Edmen Shahbazyan has porous striking defense and a nonexistent chin; all his losses have come by knockout or TKO. Still, Shahbazyan has a 100 percent finish rate behind a dominant ground game, with 11 of his 12 wins coming by submission. He’ll be eager to showcase his ultimate weapon, so long as he can avoid another quick finish.

Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan Pick, Best Bet

Although Niko Price has a clear edge in Octagon experience and overall competition, he’ll face an uphill battle in his retirement fight. The veteran’s durability has faded considerably with age, and his recent submission losses point to a clear path to victory for tap-out specialist Leon Shahbazyan. The prospect is well-positioned to shrug off a bad first impression, flash his dominant ground game, and notch his first UFC win. 

Best Bet: Leon Shahbazyan by Submission (+140)

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Cooper is a Brooklyn-based writer and editor who joined DraftKings in September 2025. A recent graduate of Jay-Z’s Roc Nation School of Sports at Long Island University, he served as the chief sports editor of the campus newspaper and the lead sideline reporter for the men’s basketball team. His previous stops include amNewYork and the New York Post.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.