Below, I break down my favorite player prop bets for Saturday’s game between the USC Trojans and the Oregon Ducks.
Here’s how I’ll play it. I’ll be pumping out these predictions for individual games all season, with plenty of coverage here on DraftKings Network. Follow my handle @dansby_edits for more betting plays.
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USC vs. Oregon player props
Evan Stewart 64+ receiving yards (-115)
Evan Stewart has hauled in 15 passes for 222 yards, and I want Dante Moore feeding him against a USC secondary that let Rutgers rip off five gains of at least 20 yards just last week. The Trojans rank 54th among 68 Power Four teams in opponent-adjusted pass defense, so Moore’s due for his field day. Oregon’s weapons should make those corners defend every inch of that grass.
Jeremiah McClellan’s broken foot thins the receiving rotation, although Dakorien Moore already has 192 yards on 11 catches. Let Dakorien get his. I’ve kept Stewart around five receptions for 70 yards, allowing for all that projected shared work. At 64+, I’m backing Oregon’s leading receiver to punish a secondary that has already conceded far too many substantial gains.
Jayden Maiava 270+ passing yards (-110)
Jayden Maiava found Corey Simms for a 52-yard touchdown on third-and-14 at Rutgers. That’s a hell of a response to a defense expecting a pass. Maiava finished with 277 yards on 32 attempts, completing throws to nine receivers; Lincoln Riley’s quarterback now has 1,173 yards and 12 touchdown passes through four games.
Oregon ranks 22nd among 68 Power Four teams in opponent-adjusted rushing defense, but 49th against the pass. Maiava will keep exploiting this. The Ducks defense will inevitably suppress Maiava’s extravagant 10.2 yards per attempt, so I’ve pulled his efficiency expectation toward 8.5 across roughly 35 throws. That still puts him near 300 yards.
For easy access to tail my CFB picks swiftly, click here to join the CFB Committee Betting Group on DraftKings Sportsbook.