Joe Burrow Passing Touchdowns Pick for Bengals vs. Steelers

In the final matchup of the Week 10 Sunday slate, Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals will face off with the Pittsburgh Steelers.

This is an important divisional battle, as both teams enter with identical 6-2 records and are tied atop the AFC North. This is the second meeting of the season between these divisional rivals, with Pittsburgh earning a 30-27 victory in Week 3.

Looking at the odds for tonight’s matchup, the Bengals enter as 3.5-point road favorites with -192 moneyline odds on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Steelers are +160 to pull off the upset, with the game total set at 49.5 points.

There are plenty of ways to get involved on DraftKings Sportsbook. You can also check out game previews and plenty more on DraftKings Network. But for now, let’s look at my top Joe Burrow prop bet for this matchup.

Joe Burrow Passing Touchdown Pick vs. Steelers on SNF

Joe Burrow to Record 3+ Passing Touchdowns (+157)

There aren’t many players in the NFL playing at a higher level than Joe Burrow right now. The Bengals star has climbed to the MVP favorite at +200 odds on DraftKings Sportsbook, and will be eager to add to his production tonight in this crucial divisional matchup.

Through eight games, Burrow has completed a league-leading 74.0% of his passes for 2,386 passing yards, 23 passing touchdowns, and six interceptions while adding three rushing scores. Cincinnati leans on its passing attack as the foundation of its offense, ranking first in net passing yards per game and second in scoring at 30.0 points per game.

The three-time Pro Bowler is averaging 2.9 passing touchdowns per game and has thrown at least three in five of his eight appearances. That includes the first matchup against Pittsburgh, when Burrow completed 28 of 37 passes for 282 yards and three touchdowns without an interception.

Burrow has been particularly productive lately, throwing 16 touchdown passes across his past four games. He followed a five-touchdown performance against Tennessee with three passing scores against Atlanta in his most recent outing. Cincinnati has won all four games during that stretch.

Still, the quarterbacks Pittsburgh has faced recently provide some context for those defensive numbers. Since the first meeting with Cincinnati, the Steelers have faced Deshaun Watson twice, along with Tyler Shough, Jalon Daniels, and Daniel Jones. Every offense presents unique challenges, but Burrow and the Bengals bring a different level of firepower to this matchup.

The bar was already high, but there is a convincing case that Burrow is playing some of the best football of his career. Cincinnati continues to lean on a pass-first approach, and Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins give him two dangerous targets near the end zone. Higgins has caught two touchdown passes in each of the past two games, while Chase has scored in four straight outings.

Expect the Bengals to give Burrow plenty of opportunities to attack through the air. He already threw three touchdown passes against Pittsburgh in the first meeting, and his recent production provides reason to expect another strong performance.

At +157, I love the value on Burrow to throw at least three passing touchdowns, a mark he has reached in five of his eight games this season. Expect the Bengals star to add to his MVP resume in this Sunday night divisional clash.