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Most Popular US Open Bets Today: Friday, September 4 Trending Picks, Odds, and Analysis

Most Popular US Open Bets Today: Friday, September 4 Trending Picks, Odds, and Analysis

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By: DK Network AI

The Round of 32 brings the US Open to its make-or-break stage, and DraftKings bettors have made their allegiance clear: they are riding the American wave. The three most popular picks in the -250 to +250 range are all American men, all moderate favorites, and all carrying the kind of home-court energy that Flushing Meadows delivers like no other venue in tennis. The public is betting with the crowd.

Make sure to visit DraftKings Sportsbook for full odds for each men’s and women’s matchup.

  • Alex Michelsen (-195) to beat Daniel Merida, Men’s Singles Round of 32
  • Frances Tiafoe (-195) to beat Valentin Vacherot, Men’s Singles Round of 32
  • Tommy Paul (-176) to beat Alexander Bublik, Men’s Singles Round of 32

Frances Tiafoe (-195) vs. [22] Valentin Vacherot

The 11 seed is the single most popular bet on the US Open board today, and it is not hard to see why. Tiafoe (ranked #12, USA, age 28) has posted a 37-16 record in 2026 with a dominant 21-9 hard-court mark. He has turned Flushing Meadows into his personal playground over the years, reaching the semifinals in 2022, and the New York crowd treats him like a hometown star. Vacherot (ranked #23, Monaco, age 27) is the 22 seed and carries a career-high of #16, but his 8-9 hard-court record in 2026 is a red flag at this stage. The match is on Armstrong at 7:00 p.m., and the atmosphere should tilt firmly in Tiafoe’s favor.

Tommy Paul (-176) vs. [15] Alexander Bublik

The betting public is backing the lower seed in this one. Paul (ranked #21, USA, age 29), the 20 seed, has been one of the most consistent players on tour with a 36-16 record (17-10 on hard courts). His career-high of #8 speaks to a player who belongs among the best in the draw. Bublik (ranked #16, Kazakhstan, age 29), the 15 seed, owns a tighter but smaller hard-court sample at 12-5 and the kind of unpredictable, serve-and-volley style that can implode as easily as it can explode. The public is betting that Paul’s steadiness outlasts Bublik’s volatility on Armstrong at 12:10 p.m.

Alex Michelsen (-195) vs. Daniel Merida

This is the pick that requires the most conviction. Michelsen (ranked #45, USA, age 22) has been excellent on hard courts in 2026, posting a 22-10 mark that ranks among the best of any unseeded player left in the draw. But Merida (ranked #39, Spain, age 21) knocked off 23 seed Andrey Rublev in the second round, a former world #5, and brings a 27-16 record into the contest. At 21 and 22, both players are at the front end of their careers, and the public is trusting Michelsen’s home-crowd advantage on Stadium 17 at 4:30 p.m. to carry him through. This is the tightest of the three picks, and Merida’s Rublev scalp should not be ignored.

Most Bet US Open Props Today

Men’s Singles

Trending RankPlayerOpponentOdds
2Frances TiafoeValentin Vacherot-195
4Tommy PaulAlexander Bublik-176
6Alex MichelsenDaniel Merida-195
8Jiri LeheckaStefanos Tsitsipas-194
9Stefanos TsitsipasJiri Lehecka151
10Mariano NavoneTomas Martin Etcheverry-105
11Alexander BublikTommy Paul139
12Daniel MeridaAlex Michelsen152
13Tomas Martin EtcheverryMariano Navone-120
14Arthur RinderknechDaniil Medvedev227
19Valentin VacherotFrances Tiafoe153
20Karen KhachanovFelix Auger-Aliassime-196
21Alexander BlockxMarco Trungelliti-109
22Jakub MensikJurij Rodionov108
23Michael ZhengYunchaokete Bu-146
24Botic Van de ZandschulpAlex De Minaur-239
25Learner TienGael Monfils-137
26Zizou BergsJesper De Jong184

Women’s Singles

Trending RankPlayerOpponentOdds
7Jasmine PaoliniSorana Cirstea145
8Diana ShnaiderTaylor Townsend-184
10Sorana CirsteaJasmine Paolini-184
11Taylor TownsendDiana Shnaider144
16Anna KalinskayaXinyu Wang238
17Ekaterina AlexandrovaMarta Kostyuk244
20Ann LiLinda Noskova248
22Madison KeysAnna Bondar-173
24Iva JovicFrancesca Jones-135
25Alexandra EalaOleksandra Oliynykova107
27Elise MertensMaria Timofeeva209

Trending data and odds via DraftKings Sportsbook. Player data, rankings, and statistics via Sportradar Tennis v3. All data as of September 4, 2026.

US Open FAQ

Where is the US Open played?

The U.S. Open is played at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, located in Flushing Meadows-Corona Park in Queens, New York. The facility features 22 courts, including Arthur Ashe Stadium (the largest tennis stadium in the world, seating approximately 23,771), Louis Armstrong Stadium (seating approximately 14,053), and the Grandstand (seating approximately 8,125). All courts use DecoTurf, a multi-layer cushioned hard court surface.

When does the 2026 US Open men’s singles draw run?

The men’s singles main draw begins on August 30 and the final is scheduled for September 13.

When does the 2026 US Open women’s singles draw run?

The women’s singles main draw begins on August 30 and the final is scheduled for September 12.

How can I watch the 2026 US Open on television?

In the United States, ESPN holds the broadcast rights to the U.S. Open. Coverage is available across ESPN, ESPN2, and ESPN+. ESPN+ carries early-round coverage and additional court streams, while the later rounds and finals air on ESPN’s main network channels.

What are the key courts at the Billie Jean King National Tennis Center?

Arthur Ashe Stadium is the main show court and hosts the marquee day and night sessions, including both singles finals. Louis Armstrong Stadium, a retractable-roof venue, hosts featured early-round matches. The Grandstand court rounds out the three primary stadiums.

Do the stadium courts have roofs?

Arthur Ashe Stadium and Louis Armstrong Stadium both have retractable roofs, allowing play to continue during rain delays.

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