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Prediction, pick for Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda at UFC Vegas 120

Prediction, pick for Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda at UFC Vegas 120

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By: Ryan Wohl

Manoel Sousa takes on Richie Miranda in a three-round lightweight contest on tonight’s UFC Fight Night Prelims. This is the third fight of the card, which begins at 5:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+. Tonight’s UFC Fight Night takes place in Las Vegas, Nevada at the Meta Apex.  

Check out my best bet below for Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda at tonight’s UFC Fight Night.

Fight Not to Go the Distance (-130)

Sousa and Miranda both have one loss, with Sousa at 14-1 and Miranda at 13-1. This is Miranda’s first fight in the UFC after fighting in LFA from April 2022 to May 2026. Miranda held the LFA Lightweight title from April 2025 to May 2026. In August 2025, Sousa picked up a knockout on Dana White’s Contender Series and followed it up with another knockout in his UFC debut against Bolaji Oki in March. 

On DraftKings Sportsbook, Sousa is a -310 favorite with Miranda as a +250 underdog. The over/under of this fight is 1.5 rounds, with the over -260 and the under +195. In this fight, Sousa is one inch taller (5’9″ vs. 5’8″), but Miranda has a five-inch reach advantage (75″ vs. 70″). Sousa has 12 finishes while Miranda has eight in his career. With that said, I’m taking this fight to not go the distance at -130. 

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Ryan is a University of Arizona graduate and Philadelphia native. Since 2024, he has been a writer for DraftKings Network, primarily covering combat sports. He is a big Philly sports fan and loves to collect sneakers, as well.
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