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Prediction, pick for Louie Sutherland vs. Jose Montanha at UFC Vegas 120

Prediction, pick for Louie Sutherland vs. Jose Montanha at UFC Vegas 120

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By: Ryan Wohl

On tonight’s UFC Fight Night Prelims, Louie Sutherland takes on Jose Montanha in a three-round Heavyweight contest. Sutherland, 32, enters this bout with a 11-5 record and eight knockouts, while Montanha is 6-1 with five finishes and is making his UFC debut. The Prelims begin at 5:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+.

Check out my best bet below for Louie Sutherland vs. Jose Montanha at tonight’s UFC Fight Night.

Over 1.5 Rounds (-145)

Sutherland is 1-2 in the UFC and picked up his first UFC win in May. Montanha beat Bruno de Jesus in August 2025, which was his last fight. After suffering his first career loss in May 2022, Montanha has gone on a three-fight winning streak, with each one coming by submission.

Montanha is slightly taller (6’4″ vs. 6’3″), while both fighters in this contest have a 76″ standing reach. Sutherland is the favorite in this fight at -218 with Montanha being a +180 underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook. The over/under is set at 1.5 rounds, with the over at -145 and the under at +114. 

Montanha has won three straight fights in the first round. Three of his previous four fights before that lasted at least two rounds. Also, three of Sutherland’s last five victories have come in fights that went over 1.5 rounds. Even though both fighters have early finishes in their career, I foresee this being a very competitive fight with them feeling each other out in the first 10 minutes of the contest. 

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Ryan is a University of Arizona graduate and Philadelphia native. Since 2024, he has been a writer for DraftKings Network, primarily covering combat sports. He is a big Philly sports fan and loves to collect sneakers, as well.
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