Every time Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant face off on national television, it’s must-watch TV, especially as the two all-time greats continue to be the best players on their respective teams at the age of 38.
They will play each other once again tonight at 9:30 p.m. ET, when Durant’s Houston Rockets host Curry’s Golden State Warriors. The game will be aired on ESPN.
Jimmy Butler III (ACL), Moses Moody (patellar tendon), and Kristaps Porziņġis (not with team) remain out for Golden State, which will also miss Gary Payton II (knee) and Brandon Williams (hamstring), although Will Richard (thumb) is probable. Houston’s four absent players have featured either minimally or not at all: Steven Adams (calf), Clint Capela (ankle), Quadir Copeland (G-League), and Julian Phillips (G-League).
The Rockets are 6.5-point favorites at DraftKings Sportsbook (-264 on the Moneyline), with the point total set to 219.5. The Warriors are +217 on the Moneyline.
Below, I’ll break down my favorite prop bets from tonight’s matchup, choosing one bet for each future Hall of Famer.
Warriors vs. Rockets Player Prop Bets
Stephen Curry 5+ Three-Pointers Made (+112)
Although Curry lost his streak of five consecutive games with at least five three-pointers made in Golden State’s win over the New Orleans Pelicans on Monday, he only played 21 minutes (nine in the second half) as the Warriors ended up winning by 51 points, tying the fourth-largest winning margin in franchise history. During Golden State’s eight-game winning streak, Curry has averaged 32.6 points per game on 53-49-98 shooting splits. His shooting could dip a little bit, as his 45.7% accuracy is a career-high so far, but he hasn’t finished at the rim very well, so shooting might become an even bigger part of his game as he ages.
He might generally have a pretty tough time against Houston, which ranks ninth in defensive rating and second in opponent three-point percentage, but some of that is based on luck. This season, the Rockets have conceded the 11th-most wide-open threes to opposing shooters and have gotten fortunate that they’ve connected at the third-lowest rate. Houston has also given up the lowest accuracy on catch-and-shoot triples. It should go without saying that the Rockets won’t be able to get away with that against Curry; he’s hit catch-and-shoot looks at a 54.4% clip and uncontested looks at a 56.3% rate.
Kevin Durant 7+ Rebounds (+129)
Durant has averaged the fourth-fewest rebounds per game of his career, in part because 84% of his minutes have come at small forward, just 7% of his minutes at power forward, and 0% at center. During his Brooklyn Nets and Phoenix Suns stints, Durant largely alternated his minutes between power forward and center. In the last two games, though, he’s started to pick it back up, snagging double-digit boards in each, although he’s gotten a bit lucky to have snagged 11.0 rebounds per game from 12.0 rebound chances.
In general, though, I just don’t trust the Warriors’ interior infrastructure. Sure, they’ve allowed the seventh-fewest rebounds per game this season and posted the eighth-highest rebounding percentage, but they ranked 24th in 2025/26. Their tallest rotation player who averages more than 16 minutes per game is six-foot-nine Yaxel Lendeborg, whose dominance on the glass has slowed down slightly after a hot first five career games, and six-foot-six Draymond Green is their regular starting center. I expect the entire Rockets team to take advantage of Golden State’s height concerns, including Durant.