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Best Chet Holmgren prop bet for Thunder vs. Bucks on Thursday 2/12/26

Best Chet Holmgren prop bet for Thunder vs. Bucks on Thursday 2/12/26

Published:

By: Bill Yin

The 42-13 Thunder will host the 22-30 Bucks tonight. The Thunder have gone just 5-5 in their last 10 games and will be without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for a little while. The Bucks have gone 4-6 in their last 10 and will be waiting for Giannis Antetokounmpo to rejoin them. Without SGA and presumably Jalen Williams, who left last night’s game early and will likely not suit up tonight, Chet Holmgren will have to step up on offense for OKC.

Ahead of Thursday night’s contest, here’s my favorite Chet Holmgren prop bet on DraftKings Sportsbook.


Best Chet Holmgren prop bet for Thunder vs. Bucks

Best Bet: Chet Holmgren U 1.5 Threes (-157)

SGA hasn’t played since February 3rd, and in the three games since he’s been out, Chet has put up 13, 13, and 17 points in these games. He’s hauled in 28 rebounds as well, and has shot 50% from the field in these games. Granted, he only played 21 minutes in last night’s lopsided 136-109 victory against the Suns.

The Bucks are currently posting a 116.7 DEFRTG on the season but have been doing well against Centers who shoot threes, allowing 0.9 threes per game, which would be the third lowest in the league. They’re also conceding 19.1 PPG to centers, the fourth lowest mark in the league.

Due to the Bucks’ ability to deter three point shots against Centers, it makes sense to go Under on Chet’s threes tonight. Chet’s one of the better three point shooting big men in the league, but he still only attempts 3.6 threes per game. If Chet wants to find big scoring numbers tonight, he’ll have to make his way inside, and he’s effective in that area, shooting 81.6% at the rim and 52.8% from three to 10 feet. He’s overall shooting 65.5% from two point territory, and should be able to continue his efficiency inside the arc tonight.

Bill joined DraftKings as a writer and editor in August of 2024, where he has been primarily covering the NBA. He earned his bachelor’s degree in English at Rutgers University and has transitioned into sports coverage after working in academic publishing. He is based in NYC and has previously contributed to FantasySixPack and Razzball.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.