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Giants vs. Commanders NFL DFS Value Picks for Thursday Night Football

Giants vs. Commanders NFL DFS Value Picks for Thursday Night Football

Updated:

By: Alex Hunter

The Giants are hosting the Commanders for an NFL Week 10 matchup on Thursday Night Football. New York is a 2.5-point home favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook, with the game total set at 40.5 points.  

DraftKings is offering some huge Showdown contests for this matchup. Below, I have featured two of my favorite NFL DFS value plays to consider for this Showdown slate.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL Showdown $1.2M Thursday Night Showdown [$300K to 1st] (WAS @ NYG)

Giants vs. Commanders NFL DFS Value Picks for Thursday Night Football

WR Treylon Burks, Washington Commanders ($5,400 CPT, $3,600 FLEX)

Burks (foot) missed Week 9, but he’s been removed from the Commanders’ injury report and will play against the Giants. New York is a tough matchup, giving up the second-fewest yards per pass attempt this season (6), but Burks is way too cheap with Terry McLaurin (knee) sidelined.

Burks has essentially played three games with McLaurin inactive this season; McLaurin played just seven snaps in Week 6 and has also missed Weeks 4 and 8 (both he and Burks were out in Week 9). In those games, Burks has scored 11.7, 10.6 and 11.1 FPTS while running a route on 64% of his team’s dropbacks.

With McLaurin off the field this season, Burks is commanding a target on 16% of his routes and averaging an excellent 2.3 YPRR, a massive difference from the 0.6 YPRR he averaged with McLaurin on the field.

Burks has scored two touchdowns this season. His red-zone usage has also been solid, with three of his 22 targets coming inside the opponent’s 20-yard line. Burks scoring a touchdown on TNF is definitely possible, making him the top value on this Showdown slate.

WR Malachi Fields, New York Giants ($7,500 CPT, $5,000 FLEX)

Fields has really benefited from J.J. McCarthy taking over at quarterback for the Giants. With McCarthy starting the last two games, Fields has finished with 12.3 and 7.0 FPTS. Last week against the Eagles, Fields saw a season-high 87% route rate.

Fields is a 6-foot-4 rookie out of Notre Dame that the Giants selected in the third round of this past NFL Draft. At the combine, Fields finished eighth among this receiver class in total score. Heading into Week 10, he appears locked in as New York’s No. 2 receiver.

Fields should see a high route rate and target share on Thursday. With McCarthy on the field this season, Fields is garnering a target on 20% of his routes.

This is an average matchup with the Commanders giving up the 14th-fewest yards per pass this season (6.9), but Fields has double-digit FPTS upside tonight, and he likely won’t be a popular play behind Malik Nabers and tight end Isaiah Likely.

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Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

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