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NFL DFS Tournament Picks: High-Upside DraftKings GPP Plays for Week 9

NFL DFS Tournament Picks: High-Upside DraftKings GPP Plays for Week 9

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By: Geoff Ulrich

NFL Week 9 offers several appealing matchups for DraftKings tournaments, with Cowboys-Colts and 49ers-Raiders carrying totals above 50 points. Injuries and shifting offensive roles are also creating value at running back, wide receiver and tight end, particularly for players whose salaries haven’t fully adjusted to their increased opportunities.

For my NFL DFS tournament picks for Week 9, I’m looking for players with favorable defensive matchups, growing workloads and the potential to deliver explosive plays at manageable salaries. This week’s selections include a high-upside Cowboys game stack, a pair of running backs with excellent matchups and several receivers capable of outperforming their DraftKings prices.

Set your DraftKings DFS lineups here: NFL $2.5M Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st]

NFL DFS Tournament Strategy for Week 9

The biggest decision this week is whether to pay up for Jahmyr Gibbs ($10,000), Jaxon Smith-Njigba ($9,300), or Puka Nacua ($8,800). All three offer enormous ceilings, but fitting multiple elite players into the same lineup can make it difficult to build a balanced roster.

Best Contrarian Stack for NFL DFS Tournaments in Week 9

Game Stack: Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts

Dak Prescott (6,500) + CeeDee Lamb (8,300) + George Pickens (6,300) + Tyler Warren (4,600)

The Cowboys-Colts game has a 51.5-point total, tied for the highest on Sunday’s main slate, with Dallas favored by 5.5 points. By starting Dak Prescott, we get exposure to an offense averaging 27.4 points per game against an Indianapolis defense surrendering 27.8 points per contest, which tends to suffer more against the pass than the run and has allowed just under 2.0 passing TDs per game this year. Prescott is also coming off consecutive top-10 fantasy quarterback finishes, including 19.8 fantasy points against Arizona last week. At $6,500, Prescott offers a more manageable salary than several elite quarterbacks, while the matchup offers opportunities for multiple passing touchdowns.

If we’re using Dak, then Lamb is a must, especially against a weaker secondary. His combination of target volume, red-zone involvement, and ability to generate explosive plays in this sort of game gives him legitimate 30+ point upside on DraftKings where we’re getting 1.0 points per reception. Stacking Pickens alongside as a second option isn’t easy. Still, if we’re playing for maximum upside and expect Prescott to get into the 350+ yard, 4+ TD range, then Pickens is the player most likely to excel in that environment. A hamstring issue has limited Pickens, so monitor his availability. But if he’s good to go, I love this spot to deploy the Cowboys’ expensive WR double-stack and hope their defense provides the game environment that lets Prescott and his primary targets reach their ceiling.

Jonathan Taylor ($7,500) is my preferred bring-back, giving this stack enormous upside against one of the NFL’s weakest rushing defenses. Dallas ranks last in rushing yards allowed (152.8 per game) and has surrendered a league-high 10 runs of 20-plus yards. The Cowboys have also allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs, including 36.1 PPR points to Tyler Allgeier last week. Taylor enters averaging 18.5 carries and 76.3 rushing yards per game, with eight rushing touchdowns through eight appearances. The biggest drawback is salary: using Taylor instead of Tyler Warren adds $2,900 to an already expensive stack. However, Taylor’s ability to break long runs and score multiple touchdowns gives him legitimate slate-breaking potential, particularly if Indianapolis keeps pace with Dallas in this 51.5-point matchup.

Alternatives I’m considering:

  • Brock Purdy (6,800) + George Kittle (6,000) + Christian McCaffrey (8,000) + Brock Bowers (7,900)

NFL DFS Tournament Quarterback Pick

Drake Maye ($7,000)

Maye’s recent production makes him worth paying up for this week, even against an above-average Green Bay defense. The Patriots quarterback has scored at least 22 DraftKings points in five consecutive games, including 42.5 against Las Vegas and 31.4 against Chicago. Over that stretch, he’s thrown for 1,398 yards and 14 touchdowns while adding three rushing scores. The New England QB has also shown impressive downfield efficiency lately, completing 67.9% of his passes for at least 10 yards over his last five games, with 10 touchdowns against just one interception. Overall, he’s torn up some weaker defenses, and with his confidence growing, I’m okay riding that wave until we hit a tougher matchup.

As mentioned, the matchup with Green Bay is tougher than Maye’s recent opponents, but that could actually help keep his tournament ownership manageable. The Packers have allowed just 12.6 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks, the sixth-fewest in the NFL, while limiting opponents to 6.2 yards per pass attempt. However, Maye’s ability to extend plays and generate explosive completions gives him opportunities to outperform those defensive numbers. New England is also a slight home favorite in a game with a 44.5-point total, and Maye’s recent consistency makes him an appealing GPP selection even at $7,000.

Alternatives I’m considering:

  • Brock Purdy ($6,800)
  • Jared Goff ($6,600)

NFL DFS Tournament Running Back Picks

Higher End: Christian McCaffrey ($8,000)

McCaffrey offers one of the best combinations of salary, matchup, and receiving upside on the Week 9 slate. At $8,000, he’s $2,000 cheaper than Jahmyr Gibbs and $1,000 less than Kenneth Walker III, despite averaging 20.7 DraftKings points per game. His ability to produce through both rushing and receiving gives him multiple paths to a strong fantasy performance. At the same time, San Francisco’s offense creates touchdown opportunities even if his workload is slightly reduced.

The matchup with Las Vegas is particularly appealing. The Raiders have allowed the most rushing yards and are tied for the fifth-most rushing touchdowns allowed to opposing running backs, making this one of the week’s most favorable matchups for the position. San Francisco is also favored by nearly 10 points, creating an excellent potential game script for McCaffrey to accumulate touches and scoring opportunities. He’s returning from a hamstring issue, but has been cleared to play and is coming off extra rest following the bye. At $8,000, McCaffrey offers elite upside at a manageable salary, though some additional work for Kaelon Black could limit his ceiling.

Alternatives I’m considering:

  • Kyren Williams ($7,600)
  • Josh Jacobs ($6,800)

Lower End: Jonah Coleman ($5,300)

Coleman is one of the most appealing salary-saving running backs on the Week 9 slate, with his workload increasing significantly since returning from injured reserve. The Denver rookie played a backfield-high 66% of the snaps against Kansas City last week, handling 11 carries for 41 yards and a touchdown while adding four receptions for 63 yards. He’s now out-snapped J.K. Dobbins in consecutive games and has taken advantage of RJ Harvey’s absence, giving him a real shot at maintaining the lead role in Denver’s backfield.

The matchup with Carolina makes Coleman particularly attractive. The Panthers have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing running backs, surrendering 115.6 rushing yards and 1.4 touchdowns per game to the position. Opposing backs are also averaging 4.7 yards per carry, giving Coleman chances to produce efficiently even without 20 carries. Denver is a slight road favorite, and Coleman’s receiving involvement gives him another way to deliver value on DraftKings. At just $5,300, his expanding workload and favorable matchup make him one of my favorite GPP values this week.

Alternatives I’m considering:

  • Quinshon Judkins ($5,400)
  • Woody Marks ($5,700)

NFL DFS Tournament Wide Receiver Picks

Higher End: Malik Nabers ($7,300)

Nabers stands out as one of the better salary-adjusted receivers on the Week 9 slate, particularly with his DraftKings price sitting below the elite options. He’s averaging 18.9 DraftKings points per game while drawing 10 targets and producing 86.4 receiving yards per contest. That volume gives him a strong weekly floor, while his ability to generate explosive plays and accumulate receptions provides the ceiling needed to win tournaments. At $7,300, he’s $1,500 cheaper than Puka Nacua and $2,000 less than Jaxon Smith-Njigba. He’s also playing on a team with a considerably worse defense than either of those guys, meaning the game environment could be wildly in his favor this week as well.

The matchup with Philadelphia looks mediocre at first glance, but it adds another reason to target him. The Eagles have allowed 183.8 receiving yards and 21.6 targets per game to opposing wide receivers, making them one of the league’s most favorable matchups for WRs right now, a trend that seems likely to continue given the team’s struggles of late. New York is also favored on the road, but the game’s relatively low total could help keep ownership down compared with receivers in higher-scoring matchups.

Alternatives I’m considering:

  • Puka Nacua ($8,800)
  • Nico Collins ($7,200)

Lower End: Malik Washington ($4,700)

Washington is one of my favorite value receivers for Week 9, with his DraftKings salary still sitting below $5,000 despite a substantial role in Miami’s passing game. He’s commanded a 24.6% target share this season, a 27.1% first-read target share, and nine deep targets. Washington also leads Miami in route participation, running a route on more than 80% of the team’s dropbacks. He finally found the end zone last week, finishing as the WR14 in fantasy, and his combination of receiving volume and occasional designed touches gives him more upside than his salary suggests.

The matchup with Detroit creates another interesting opportunity. The Lions have allowed the fifth-most receiving fantasy points per game to slot receivers over their last five games, and Washington has lined up in the slot on more than half his routes. Miami is also a seven-point home underdog, which could force Malik Willis to throw more frequently if Detroit builds an early lead. The Dolphins’ run-heavy tendencies are a concern, but Washington’s established target share gives him a realistic path to six or more receptions. At $4,700, he’s an appealing salary-saving option with the potential to outperform his price significantly.

Alternatives I’m considering:

  • Tre Tucker ($5,400)
  • KC Concepcion Jr. ($4,600)

NFL DFS Tournament Tight End Pick

Harold Fannin Jr. ($4,700)

Fannin is one of the strongest usage-based tight end targets for Week 9, with his role in Cleveland’s passing attack expanding dramatically over the last two games. He’s caught 16 passes on 21 targets for 245 yards during that stretch, establishing himself as one of the Browns’ most productive receiving options. That kind of volume is particularly valuable on DraftKings, where tight ends can deliver strong tournament scores without necessarily finding the end zone. At 4,700, Fannin is also significantly cheaper than Brock Bowers (7,900), Trey McBride (7,700), and George Kittle (6,000).

The matchup with New Orleans makes Fannin even more appealing. The Saints have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends, surrendering 68.4 receiving yards and 8.9 targets per game. They’ve also struggled against single-high coverage beaters, an area where Fannin has been particularly effective recently. Cleveland’s quarterback situation remains uncertain with Deshaun Watson dealing with a concussion, but Fannin’s recent target volume suggests he should remain a focal point regardless of who starts. His increased involvement, favorable matchup, and manageable salary make him one of my preferred GPP tight ends.

Alternatives I’m considering:

  • Sam LaPorta ($5,100)
  • Greg Dulcich ($3,100)

NFL DFS Tournament Defense Pick

New Orleans Saints ($2,900)

New Orleans offers an appealing midrange defensive option for Week 9, particularly with Cleveland visiting in one of the lower-total games on Sunday’s main slate. The Saints are three-point home favorites, while the Browns are averaging just 17.4 points per game, ranking near the bottom of the NFL in scoring. Cleveland’s inconsistent quarterback play and difficulty sustaining drives create opportunities for New Orleans to generate sacks, turnovers, and potentially a defensive touchdown without needing to shut down the opposing offense completely.

The biggest attraction is Cleveland’s instability at quarterback, with Shedeur Sanders getting his first start of the season with Deshaun Watson in concussion protocol. Sanders posted 7 TDs and 10 INTs in just eight appearances last year. That could create additional opportunities for a Saints defense playing at home against an offense that has struggled to move the football consistently. New Orleans is averaging 5.3 DraftKings points per game, so this isn’t a defense with an established elite fantasy ceiling. Still, the matchup and salary offer a reasonable path to tournament value and a potentially explosive day.

Alternatives I’m considering:

  • Seattle Seahawks ($3,800)
  • Kansas City Chiefs ($3,700)

NFL DFS Tournament Picks FAQ

What is a GPP in NFL DFS?

A GPP, or guaranteed prize pool tournament, is a DFS contest that generally rewards high-ceiling lineups that can finish near the top of a large field. Unlike safer lineup constructions, tournament lineups often place more emphasis on ceiling, correlation, ownership and leverage.

What should I look for in NFL DFS tournament picks?

Strong NFL DFS tournament plays should offer a combination of upside, salary value and a realistic path to outperforming their expected ownership. Correlated game stacks and lower-owned pivots from popular players can also help differentiate lineups in larger contests.

How are NFL DFS tournament picks different from cash-game picks?

Cash-game lineups generally prioritize projection, workload and consistency, while tournament lineups can take on more volatility in exchange for a higher ceiling. GPP players may also consider ownership and leverage more heavily when deciding between similarly projected options.

What are the best NFL DFS tournament picks for Week 9?

My favorite NFL DFS tournament plays for Week 9 include Drake Maye ($7,000) at quarterback, Christian McCaffrey ($8,000) and Jonah Coleman ($5,300) at running back, Malik Nabers ($7,300) and Malik Washington ($4,700) at wide receiver, and Harold Fannin Jr. ($4,700) at tight end. The New Orleans Saints ($2,900) are my preferred defense, while Cowboys-Colts, featuring Jonathan Taylor as the bring-back, is my featured contrarian game stack for Sunday’s DraftKings main slate.

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Geoff Ulrich has been involved in the daily fantasy sports and sports betting world as a writer for some time now. While he enjoys betting and daily fantasy play across all sports, his biggest focus has always been on the NFL, Golf and NHL, where he tries to break down the more complex subjects of gambling and DFS into simpler terms for his readers. An inquisitive person by nature, you can often find him on twitter (@thefantasygrind) tilting his latest bet or going over his favorite plays for the upcoming NFL or Golf slates.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

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