Seattle coach Mike Macdonald just held Kansas City to three points without allowing a red-zone visit. His defenders are playing magnificently together. Chicago coach Ben Johnson brings quarterback Caleb Williams and the league’s leading rushing offense to Lumen Field on Monday. Williams is throwing accurately; Seattle’s defenders will demand more sustained precision than New England did. Below is my preview, prediction, and pick for this week’s NFL game between the Seattle Seahawks and the Chicago Bears.
Here’s how I’ll play it. I’ll be pumping out these predictions for individual games all season, with plenty of coverage here on DraftKings Network. Follow my handle @dansby_edits for more betting plays.
Most all stats provided by Fantasy Points Data Suite 2.0.
Seahawks vs. Bears prediction, preview
The Seahawks have allowed a stifling 3.99 yards per play through seven games. Macdonald can leave coverage personnel on the field because his defenders defeat blocks and rally to runners from nickel and dime. Defensive back Nick Emmanwori has disrupted checkdowns, harassed quarterbacks trying to escape and carried receivers downfield. Chicago has to find receiving room against a defense capable of handling those overlapping responsibilities.
Bears running back D’Andre Swift leads a ground game averaging 154.3 yards per game, but Seattle has allowed only 3.5 YPC and held Chiefs back Kenneth Walker III to 36 yards on 14 carries. With fellow back Kyle Monangai out and tight end Cole Kmet lost for the season, Johnson has fewer established complementary runners and blockers. Tight end Colston Loveland has no designation after a neck issue; rookie tight end Sam Roush is expected to absorb more work, including blocking.
Williams can threaten Seattle even if Swift struggles. Against New England’s blitzes, he completed 12 of 20 throws for 205 yards and a touchdown. He’s deciding sooner and using his checkdowns, giving receiver Luther Burden III chances to accelerate after the catch. Macdonald can pressure Williams while preserving help for those shorter throws: Seattle pressured Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes on 19 of 36 dropbacks while denying the explosive completions Chicago enjoyed against the Patriots. Williams faces far sounder tackling when he does release the ball.
Bears vs. Seahawks pick, best bet
Seattle has installed Quenton Nelson at left guard and moved fellow guard Grey Zabel to the right, with tackle Josh Jones replacing injured tackle Charles Cross. Bears defensive coordinator Dennis Allen can challenge their communication with newly acquired defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons, returning edge rusher Montez Sweat and linebacker T.J. Edwards. Simmons needn’t handle a full workload immediately for Allen to pressure that rearranged line. Chicago has allowed 6.3 yards per play, though, and Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold has receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba, already at eight touchdowns and 867 yards, to punish a coverage lapse. Fellow receiver Rashid Shaheed is out, and Seattle managed a measly six points from three red-zone visits against Kansas City.
Seattle has cleared running back Zach Charbonnet to return from his ACL injury; his workload remains to be determined, but I’d bet the backfield is a whole mess. I’m taking under 46.5. Macdonald can defend Swift without stripping his coverage, then make Williams sustain longer possessions. Smith-Njigba can hurt Chicago badly, but Darnold still has to finish drives behind a rearranged line against Allen’s reinforced rush. Seattle’s own wastefulness near the goal line gives me another reason to accept the danger Smith-Njigba presents, unless they correct it suddenly this week.
Best bet: Under 46.5 (-110).
Projected score: Seahawks 23, Bears 20.
Best Bet: Seahawks vs. Bears u46.5 total points scored (-110)
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