Two top Flyweight contenders, Manel Kape and Kyoji Horiguchi, face off in the Main Event of tonight’s UFC Fight Night. With a victory, Kape or Horiguchi could earn themselves a future Flyweight title shot. The Main Card for this event begins at 8:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+.
Check out my favorite same game parlay for tonight’s UFC Fight Night.
Top Same Game Parlay (SGP) Bet:
Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi: Fight To Not Go The Distance (-120)
Murtazali Magomedov to win by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission (-120)
Navajo Stirling to win by KO/TKO/DQ (+110)
SGP odds: +605
Throughout his MMA career, 19 of Manel Kape’s 22 victories have come by knockout or submission. He has won three consecutive fights, each by knockout. Horiguchi is on an eight-fight unbeaten streak and has won two straight bouts since returning to the UFC in November 2025. In December 2017, Horiguchi beat Kape by submission in their first fight in Rizin. With two exciting fighters who always look for the finish, I don’t think this contest goes the distance.
The second leg of my parlay is Murtazali Magomedov to beat Melsik Baghdasaryan by KO/TKO/DQ or submission. Magomedov is an impressive prospect at 26, with an undefeated record of 10-0 and 10 finishes. His versatility should set him apart from Baghdasaryan, as he has five knockouts and five submissions. Baghdasaryan has struggled lately in the UFC, going 1-2 in his previous three contests, with both losses coming by finish.
To finish off the SGP, I like rising star Navajo Stirling to score a knockout over Ion Cutelaba in the co-main event of this card. Stirling is 4-0 in the UFC and 9-0 overall with five career knockouts. Although Stirling is making a big jump up in competition, he should be well prepared for the opportunity as he comes from a top-tier gym, City Kickboxing. Cutelaba has won three of his last four fights, but hasn’t faced a striker on Stirling’s level in that span. If Stirling comes out aggressive as he did previously, a knockout is doable. That is because Stirling has a height (6’4″ vs. 6’1″) and reach (79″ vs. 75″) advantage over Cutelaba while landing over two more significant strikes per minute.
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