Ludvig Aberg
Ludvig Aberg began his 2025 campaign on a high note at the Sentry last month, finishing T-5th. This marked the Swede’s fourth top-five finish in his last 10 starts and the second straight start that he has gained strokes in every major category. Another notable feat in his last two starts is that Aberg closed each tournament with a 64 in the final round, which is very encouraging, as Aberg’s Achilles heel has been his inability to finish events strong. Last season, he ranked 62nd in final round scoring at 69.5 and he shot even par or worse in the final round of eight of his 20 starts.
Aberg posting back-to-back closing round 64s may be a sign he is finally over his final round woes and ready to capture his second PGA TOUR title very soon, possibly as soon as this week. Aberg finished T-9th in his Farmers Insurance Open debut last season and he returns to Torrey Pines this week as the No. 9 ranked player in the world, which is 23 spots higher than his ranking heading into the event last season.
Aberg ranks ninth in SG APP when we compare this week’s field’s last 50 rounds, which is great news for a second-shot venue like the South Course of Torrey Pines, where four of the last five winners of the Farmers Insurance Open have finished the week top-five in SG APP. Aberg also ranks third in 450-500-yard par four efficiency over his last 50 rounds, which is another factor that bodes extremely well for him this week. Six of the 10 par fours at the South Course land between 450-500 yards and for five years running, the winner of the Farmers Insurance Open has either led their field or finished runner-up in efficiency on 450-500-yard par fours of the South Course.
Aberg has all the tools to win at Torrey Pines and while he might be a popular pick, using Aberg in your OAD pool is the right move this week with no specific tournament down the road he needs to be saved for and the unlikelihood of using him at one of the four majors given his struggles at those events so far in his career and that there are many more elite players to consider at those tournaments, with the LIV’s best players being eligible. On DraftKings Sportsbook, Aberg is the favorite to win the Farmers Insurance Open this weekend, with field-best +900 odds.
Past One and Done Tournament Results
The Sony Open: Maverick McNealy (T-45)
The American Express: Justin Thomas (second)
