Join us here on Election Day, November 5th, as we’ll be giving LIVE updates from DraftKings Sportsbook. Here, we’ll be giving updates on the markets available during the Election between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris (only available in Ontario, Canada). Feel free to bookmark this page and come back starting Tuesday morning for the latest DraftKings Presidential Election odds on DraftKings!
1:21 a.m. ET: Fox News has called Pennsylvania for Donald Trump; would give him 270 electoral votes and the Presidency
With this call, it is mathematically impossible for Kamala Harris to win the election.
Ladies and Gentleman, Donald Trump will be the 47th President of The United States of America.
1:15 a.m. ET: Trump in position to sweep all seven swing states
When we began the day, this is how the swing states odds looked:
While he was leading in five of the seven, Harris started the day as a sizable favorite in Michigan and Wisconsin. As the polls were about to close, Harris was -200 in Michigan while Wisconsin moved to a tie at -115. Currently, Trump is leading in all seven of the swing states.
1:03 a.m. ET: Trump back to -10000 to win election
12:54 a.m. ET: Harris campaign announces she will not speak tonight
KAMALA CAMPAIGN: “ You will not hear from the vice president tonight .” pic.twitter.com/QgJmtTwEP7
— Breaking911 (@Breaking911) November 6, 2024
12:35 a.m. ET: Kamala Harris cancels her scheduled speech at Howard University
12:25 a.m. ET: Presidential Winner still heavily in favor of Trump but the line is moving
Trump is still a resounding favorite but nonetheless, the line has been moving over the past 10 minutes.
12:22 a.m. ET: Trump goes from -10000 to -5000 with Pennsylvania news
As mentioned moments ago, Harris has gained some ground in Pennsylvania but it could be too late. Trump is still leading in in Michigan and Wisconsin.
12:17 a.m. ET: Presidential Winner market back up on DraftKings
Anddddd he’s still a massive, massive favorite.
It’s likely not a coincidence that Harris closed the gap a bit in Pennsylvania, as she trails Trump by 170,158 votes, according to CNN. It could be too little too late, however, as 87% of the votes are accounted for.
12:04 a.m. ET: Presidential Winner market has come off the board on DraftKings
I can’t confirm it will stay off the board, but we very well may not see this market come back up. We’ll continue to update throughout the night in the meantime.
11:58 p.m. ET: Make that -10000 for Trump
11:52 p.m. ET: Trump has moved to -5000 to win the election
Trump continues to be doing well in the three important swing states of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan. According to CNN, he leads in all three of them as of 11:52 p.m. ET. At -5000, that gives him an implied probability of 98%!!!!!!
11:43 p.m. ET: Virginia called for Kamala Harris
A much needed win for Harris in a state that we didn’t expect to be this close. The New York Times has called the race here with Harris leading with 51% of the vote with 87% reporting. A loss here would have been devastating for Harris but she was able to hold on.
11:15 p.m. ET: Vote count updates for Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan
Pennsylvania 73% vote in (from New York Times)
Donald Trump 51% (closed -160 on DraftKings)
Kamala Harris 48%
Michigan 32% vote in (from New York Times)
Donald Trump 52%
Kamala Harris 47% (closed -200 on DraftKings)
Wisconsin 65% vote in (from New York Times)
Donald Trump 51% (closed -115 on DraftKings)
Kamala Harris 48%
10:56 p.m. ET: Donald Trump now -2500 to win the Presidency
The tale of two photos.
10:45 p.m. ET: Donald Trump now -1600 to win the Presidency
According to the New York Times, Trump is ahead in Pennsylvania by 3% with with 61% of the vote in, 1.2% in Wisconsin with 56% of the votes in. Trump is also ahead in Michigan, where he was an underdog on DraftKings when the polls closed. However, he’s only ahead by 0.7% at this update.
10:30 p.m. ET: Georgia is being called for Donald Trump
Trump closed as a heavy favorite in Georgia and the race is being called in his favor. While this was a needed state for Trump, the election still lies within Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan.
10:28 p.m. ET: Arizona is very close with 50% of the votes in. Wait, what?
Remember this?
Every vote counts is ringing true over in Arizona right now! This was the swing state that Trump had the best chance of winning, closing with a probability of 83%. As of now, 51% of the votes are accounted for an Harris is ahead by 0.2%. It’s a razor thin margin, but man, this is a bit close for comfort if you backed Trump here. Stay tuned.
10:21 p.m. ET: Donald Trump now -1100 to win the Presidency
I will say this is getting a bit crazy, in my opinion. He’s in great shape but still needs to win some important key states, which are very tight. Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin has no clear cut winner at the moment. If Harris were to sweep those states, she would land right on 270 electoral votes.
The wrench in all of this is Virginia staying in play for Trump. According to the New York Times, with 71% of the votes in, Trump has a 0.7% lead. If he were to take Virginia, It’s getting dicey for Harris but I don’t agree with Trump being THIS big of a favorite currently.
10:07 p.m. ET: Kamala Harris is no longer the favorite to win the popular vote
Insane.
That’s the only way to describe this. An 80% probability for Harris to win the popular vote has crashed all the way down to even money. Trump is now a 55% favorite to win the popular vote.
The last time a Republican won the popular vote and election was in 2004 for George W. Bush!
9:57 p.m. ET: Nevada comes off the board on DraftKings ahead of polls closing at 10 p.m. ET
9:55 p.m. ET: Donald Trump now -500 to win Presidency; Nevada moves to -230
Big moves continue to happen late Tuesday evening.
At -500, Trump’s probability is 83.3%. These are the same odds Trump had to win Arizona before it was taken off the board. Now, we still have A LOT of votes to count in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, so all is not lost for the Harris party.
Nevada has taken a massive swing after starting off the evening at -150 and then falling to -125. In the grand scheme of things, Nevada doesn’t matter as much as Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin. Nonetheless, this is a big swing in favor of Trump.
9:35 p.m. ET: Donald Trump moves to -400 to win Presidency after North Carolina projection
9:27 p.m. ET: Donald Trump projected to win North Carolina
Trump was a big favorite to win North Carolina, and it’s now being projected he will take it down. With the win in NC, all Trump needs to win is Pennsylvania and Georgia. That gives him the easiest path. He still has 11 other paths, which is a combination of three swing states that include PA, MI, AZ, WI, GA.
Harris is down to nine paths to victory and needs AT LEAST three swing states. She needs Pennsylvania in six of the nine combinations. Below are her remaining paths to victory thanks to 270towin.com
9:17 p.m. ET: Kamala Harris “to win popular vote” odds have been nearly cut in half
This afternoon, Harris’ odds to win the popular vote sat at -400. That’s an implied probability of 80%. As of right now, those odds have fallen to -220, which is an implied probability of 68%. She’s still in the driver’s seat to win the popular vote but this is a huge drop in a matter of hours.
9:01 p.m. ET: Arizona, Michigan polls close
Arizona was taken off the board earlier in the eight o’clock hour, as Trump was a -500 to win the state.
Michigan, which has stood still at -220 the majority of the day, will close at -200 in favor of Harris. At -200, that gives her an implied probability of 66.6%
The only state that remains on the board for the swing states is Nevada, which just recently moved to -160.
8:57 p.m. ET: Wisconsin odds move to a tie, Nevada moves heavily in favor of Trump
Wow! Coming in at the buzzer!!!
Wisconsin, which has been slightly in favor of Harris since late last week, has now moved to a tie at -115 for both sides.
Nevada, which was slightly in favor of Trump at -125, moved big to -160. The night is just getting started, folks.
8:42 p.m. ET: Trump moves to -300 to win the Presidency
As votes as being calculated, Trump has taken the lead in North Carolina and Georgia and almost immediately moved to a -300 favorite. Acoording to the New York Times, Trump has a nearly 10% advantage in Georgia with 55% reporting. In North Carolina with 21% reporting, Trump is up by 7%.
One state to keep an eye on is Virginia. With 44% reported, Trump is behind by 0.3%. This state leans Democrat but is very tight as of now.
8:50 p.m. ET: Nevada moves big in favor of Trump
A LOT of movement in the final stretch! Nevada got tight late last week and continued into tonight. Now it’s -160 in favor of Trump. Lines are moving, folks!
8:48 p.m. ET: Wisconsin odds move to a tie
Wow. With 10 minutes until polls close, Wisconsin went from -120 in favor of Harris to tied at -115.
8:33 p.m. ET: Odds for the four remaining swing states
Arizona has been looking like a wrap for a long time now. Michigan has remained steady in favor of Harris. It’s now Nevada and Wisconsin which are the two closest remaining swing states with voting still available. Wisconsin has moved slightly in favor of Trump while Nevada has remained slightly in favor of him. We’ll update how these closed when the polls close soon.
8:22 p.m. ET: Kamala Harris “to win popular vote” falls again
I said earlier this was going to be a market to watch. Harris to win the popular vote has now fallen from -400 down to -250. Trump has improved from +300 to +200.
8:06 p.m. ET: Trump odds continue to improve after Florida called in his favor
While Florida wasn’t considered a battleground state, Trump has turned it red ever since he ran back in 2016. Once the news became official, Trump moved from -220 to the current -250.
8:00 p.m. ET: Pennsylvania polls (mostly) close; Pennsylvania has LATE movement for Trump
Like Georgia, Pennsylvania has extended voting in a couple of areas due to voting machine failures.
Pennsylvania has been tight over the past few weeks but within the past few minutes, moved heavily toward Trump. It will now close at -160 after being around -125 for Trump.
7:42 p.m. ET: Make that -220 in favor of Trump
7:38 p.m. ET: Donald Trump jumps to -200 favorite to win the Presidency
A big jump here for Trump. These are the best odds we’ve seen for him on the day. Within the hour, Trump has gone from -160, to -185 and now to -200.
7:34 p.m. ET: Kamala Harris “to win popular vote” odds slip
To be fair, she’s still a HUGE favorite to win the popular vote at -300. However, this has dropped significantly throughout the day. She’s now “down” to -300 after peaking at -400. It’s still an implied probability of 75%, but, it’s something to watch as the night moves on.
7:30 p.m. ET: North Carolina polls have closed
Unless something wild happened that I haven’t seen yet, North Carolina should be closed for business. Here is how the odds closed at 7:30.
Donald Trump -250 (implied probability 71.4%)
Kamala Harris +175 (implied probability 36.6%)
7:14 p.m. ET: Well, that didn’t last long
7:07 p.m. ET: Presidential Winner odds shift for first time since polls begin to close
After being -175 for a good portion of the afternoon, Trump has slipped slightly to -160 while Harris now stands at +130.
7:00 p.m. ET: Georgia polls have (mostly) closed
Issues earlier in the day and potentially this evening (bomb threats!) will allow some areas to continue voting. Nonetheless, the majority of Georgia polls have now closed. With that said, we had the following odds on DraftKings Sportsbook when polls closed:
Donald Trump -280 (implied probability 73.6%)
Kamala Harris +200 (implied probability 33.3%)
A win here will award 16 Electoral votes.
6:43 p.m. ET: Electoral Votes odds movement
These is a niche market and quite honestly, not one I expect to get a lot of attention. You really have to nail down the electoral college map to hit on these bets. Nonetheless, money is coming in here. Since the morning, we’ve seen the following movement
Democrats:
- 240-269 Votes +210 (was +240)
- 270-299 Votes +300 (was +275)
- 360 Votes or more +2500 (was +2800)
Republicans:
- 270-299 Votes +200 (was +225)
- 300-329 Votes +300 (was +275)
6:05 p.m. ET: Polls in key swing states will start to close starting at 7 p.m. ET
- Georgia 7 p.m. ET* (some locations will be voting later due to issues earlier in the day)
- North Carolina 7:30 p.m. ET
- Pennsylvania 8 p.m. ET* (some locations will be voting later due to issues earlier in the day)
- Michigan 9 p.m. ET
- Arizona 9 p.m. ET
- Wisconsin 9 p.m. ET
- Nevada 10 p.m. ET
5:58 p.m. ET: Milwaukee announces they’ll need to recount about 30,000 ballots
Local news station WDJT – CBS58 reports that a “tabulation error” occurred and will require a recount. Wisconsin is one of the most important swing states of the night, so results could be delayed further. Currently Harris is leading at -140 on DraftKings Sportsbook while Trump is at +100
5:35 p.m. ET: Odds movement in key swing states including Pennsylvania, Wisconsin
As expected, we’re seeing movement across many states as we get closer to polls starting to close. Here is the latest movement since our last update
Arizona:
Trump -500 (was -450)
Harris +330 (was +300)
Georgia:
Trump -280 (was -250)
Harris +200 (was +175)
Michigan:
Harris -250 (was -230)
Trump +175 (was +165)
North Carolina:
Trump -250 (was -230)
Harris +175 (was +165)
Pennsylvania:
Trump -135 (was -150)
Harris +100 (was +120)
Wisconsin
Harris -135 (was -150)
Trump +100 (was +12)
4:50 p.m. ET: Latest odds in swing states; Trump maintains -175 odds as overall winner
Despite some small moves here and there, the odds have remained relatively the same over the past few hours. We’ll be getting more information over the next couple of hours when exit polls are released. Until then, I would not anticipate any major moves.
3:40 p.m. ET: Paths to victory for each candidate if they win Pennsylvania
All eyes are on Pennsylvania, as its looking like it’ll be the more important swing state of the seven. Trump is still -150 to win it while Harris is currently at +120. We’re going to show the remaining paths to victory for each side should they win it and how they can then move on to win the Election.
For this, we’re going to award Arizona to Trump, as he’s -450 to win that state, which is an implied probability of 81.8%.
So, here are the paths to victory for each candidate should they win Pennsylvania and their current odds in those swing states from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Kamala Harris paths to victory with Pennsylvania (6)
- Georgia (+175), North Carolina (+165)
- Georgia (+175), Michigan (-230)
- North Carolina (+165), Michigan (-230)
- Georgia (+175), Wisconsin (-150)
- North Carolina (+165), Wisconsin (-150)
- Michigan (-230), Wisconsin (-150)
Donald Trump paths to victory with Pennsylvania (9)
- Georgia (-250), North Carolina (-230)
- Georgia (-250), Michigan (+165)
- North Carolina (-230), Michigan (+165)
- Georgia (-250), Wisconsin (+120)
- North Carolina (-230), Wisconsin (+120)
- Michigan (+165), Wisconsin (+120)
- Georgia (-250), Nevada (-125)
- North Carolina (-230), Nevada (-125)
- Michigan (+165), Nevada (-125)
When it comes to the odds, the most likely outcome for Harris would be Pennsylvania (+120), Michigan (-230) and Wisconsin (-150).
For Trump, the most likely outcome would be Pennsylvania (-150), Georgia (-250) and North Carolina (-230).
1:51 p.m. ET: Trump moves to a -175 favorite to win Presidency
The overall winner odds have stood pat for the majority of the day. We just had our first movement in awhile, as Trump went from -165 to -175 to win the election.
After the odds fell to nearly a coin flip over the weekend, Trump has steadily moved back up. Yesterday, on the eve of the election, Trump was at -140. At it’s current odds of -175, it implies a probability of 63.6% chance of victory. As noted below, Trump is currently leading in five of the seven swing states, including Pennsylvania, Georgia and North Carolina.
Kamala Harris is still a massive favorite to win the popular vote, although her odds have come down slightly from -400 this morning.
1:25 p.m. ET: Pennsylvania extends voting hours in Cambria County to 10 p.m. ET after early morning issues
Cambria County, PA had reported that voting machines were down early this morning, stalling any activity. It was announced a short time ago that voting will now be extended to 10 p.m. ET in that location. A very newsworthy update in a state that is extremely pivotal to both candidates and this election.
In the last two elections, Cambria County voted as follows:
2016
Donald Trump: 67% (42,258 votes)
Hillary Clinton: 30% (18,867)
2020
Donald Trump: 68% (48,085)
Joe Biden: 31% (21,730)
Trump is -150 to win Pennsylvania, which is a jump from the -135 line earlier this morning.
12:10 p.m. ET: Nevada moves closer to a coin flip; Trump extends lead in Arizona
After Trump was -150 in Nevada earlier this morning, the gap has closed to a -125 line for Trump. Out of the swing states, this was the one I was unsure of. While Trump has won the majority of the state in both elections, Clark County (Las Vegas) and Washoe County (Reno) have delivered the knockout blows. You can see from the photos below (courtesy of CNN) that both counties have voted Democrat in the past two elections. Washoe County has been a fringe win both times for Democrats, so Trump would need to try and flip it to take down Nevada. While he still owns a slight lead, the -125 lines, implies the chances of victory at just 55.5%.
Trump has also extended his lead in Arizona to -450, which is an implied probability of 81.1%. Arizona would award 11 electoral votes.
11:16 a.m. ET: Trump extends lead in three key swing states
We last checked the swing state market earlier this morning around 9:25 am ET. Since then, Trump has extended his lead in Georgia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania.
Georgia -230 (was -200)
North Carolina -230 (was -200)
Pennsylvania -150 (was -130)
Should Trump win all three of these states, it would be enough to have him cross the 270 electoral vote threshold with 281.
10:37 a.m. ET: Electoral College Map
This is how the electoral college would play out if the favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook in each of the swing states were to win. This map is courtesy of 270toWin.com
9:24 a.m. ET: DraftKings 2024 Election Odds
Good morning everyone! Here is how all the markets on DraftKings Sportsbook look as of this morning. As the day goes on, I’ll offer more analysis as lines move. As a reminder, these are only available to bet in Ontario, Canada.
Presidential Winner
Battleground States odds
To Win Popular Vote odds
Electoral College Votes odds
Feel free to check out our current Election coverage update on DraftKings Network.
–Who leads in the battleground states as of November 4th on DraftKings Sportsbook
–Which states are safe for Donald Trump
-Which states are safe for Kamala Harris
Presidential election odds on DraftKings Sportsbook are currently available only in Ontario, Canada.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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