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NBA Public Betting Trends and Best Bets for Thursday, November 5

NBA Public Betting Trends and Best Bets for Thursday, November 5

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By: DK Network AI

Looking for today’s NBA public betting trends and odds? Here’s where the public and sharp money are landing on DraftKings Sportsbook for Thursday’s two-game slate, along with our best bets.


For up-to-date NBA betting information and data, check out the DraftKings Sportsbook betting splits page and player props page!


Best Bets for Thursday’s NBA Slate

  • Magic +1.5 (-120): Orlando holds 89% of the spread handle on just 39% of bets, the widest spread gap on the slate.
  • Davion Mitchell Over 20.5 Points + Assists (-117): Mitchell cleared this line in 8 of his last 10 games dating to last season, averaging 23.6.
  • Heat Moneyline (+228): Miami draws 66% of the Moneyline handle on only 30% of bets.
  • De’Anthony Melton Over 3.5 Rebounds (+103): Melton cleared this line in 8 of his last 10 games dating to last season, averaging 4.9.
  • Heat at Warriors Over 235.5 (-112): The Over takes 99% of the handle on an even 50% split of bets.

MarketSuns (PHX)Magic (ORL)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-110-10850% / 50%77% / 23%
Spread-1.5 (-101)+1.5 (-120)61% / 39%11% / 89%
TotalOver 222.5 (-111)Under 222.5 (-109)67% / 33%100% / 0%

Team Stats

StatPHXORL
Record1-52-5
Points/Game113.3 (15th)105.7 (29th)
Opp Points/Game124.3 (29th)114.7 (T-20th)
Offensive Rating113.5 (12th)107.6 (23rd)
Defensive Rating123.5 (30th)115.4 (25th)
Field Goal %46.2% (14th)45.3% (T-18th)
3-Point %33.9% (18th)34.3% (T-16th)

The money splits by market here: Phoenix draws 77% of the Moneyline handle at -110 on an even split of tickets, yet Orlando +1.5 holds 89% of the spread handle on 39% of bets. Every dollar on the total sits on the Over 222.5 (67% of bets), against a Suns team that has lost four straight and owns a defensive rating of 123.5, last in the league.


MarketWarriors (GSW)Heat (MIA)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-279+22870% / 30%34% / 66%
Spread-7.5 (-106)+7.5 (-114)21% / 79%48% / 52%
TotalOver 235.5 (-112)Under 235.5 (-108)50% / 50%99% / 1%

Team Stats

StatGSWMIA
Record5-33-5
Points/Game117.5 (10th)118.0 (7th)
Opp Points/Game114.6 (19th)122.9 (27th)
Offensive Rating115.9 (5th)110.8 (19th)
Defensive Rating113.9 (22nd)117.4 (27th)
Field Goal %45.5% (T-16th)47.2% (9th)
3-Point %38.9% (2nd)33.5% (20th)

Tickets back Golden State at 70% of Moneyline bets, but 66% of the Moneyline handle is on Miami at +228, and the spread money lands near even (52% on the Heat +7.5) despite 79% of bets on Miami. The Over 235.5 draws 99% of the handle on a 50/50 ticket split, with the Warriors’ 38.9% from three (2nd) and 115.9 offensive rating (5th) set against a Heat defense rated 117.4 (27th).


Notable Player Props

  • Bam Adebayo (MIA) Rebounds + Assists O/U 13.5 (-129 / -102): under in 9 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • Davion Mitchell (MIA) Points + Assists O/U 20.5 (-117 / -112): over in 8 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIA) Points + Rebounds O/U 40.5 (-123 / -107): over in 8 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • De’Anthony Melton (GSW) Rebounds O/U 3.5 (+103 / -136): over in 8 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • Franz Wagner (ORL) Points O/U 23.5 (-103 / -124): under in 8 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • Desmond Bane (ORL) Assists O/U 3.5 (+100 / -131): under in 8 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • Anthony Black (ORL) Assists O/U 4.5 (+113 / -149): under in 8 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • Davion Mitchell (MIA) Three Pointers Made O/U 1.5 (-114 / -116): over in 7 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIA) Points O/U 28.5 (-119 / -107): over in 7 of his last 10 games dating to last season

For more parlay ideas, check out the DraftKings Sportsbook parlays page!

SGPx

Bucket Getters

25+ Pts: Giannis, Curry last 3 | Booker last 2 | Franz 1 of last 3 | Bam last 1

Odds: +1853

25+ Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
25+ Stephen Curry Points Stephen Curry Points
25+ Devin Booker Points Devin Booker Points
25+ Franz Wagner Points Franz Wagner Points
25+ Bam Adebayo Points Bam Adebayo Points
Ends in: --:--
Bet Count: 332
SGPx

Stat Sheet Stuffers

Bet on each of these players to fill up the box score tonight!

Odds: +798

30+ Stephen Curry Pts + Reb + Ast Stephen Curry Points + Rebounds + Assists
30+ Devin Booker Pts + Reb + Ast Devin Booker Points + Rebounds + Assists
30+ Bam Adebayo Pts + Reb + Ast Bam Adebayo Points + Rebounds + Assists
30+ Desmond Bane Pts + Reb + Ast Desmond Bane Points + Rebounds + Assists
30+ Yaxel Lendeborg Pts + Reb + Ast Yaxel Lendeborg Points + Rebounds + Assists
30+ Franz Wagner Pts + Reb + Ast Franz Wagner Points + Rebounds + Assists
Ends in: --:--
Bet Count: 124
SGPx

Raining Threes

3+ Threes: Curry last 6 | Bane last 3 | Booker 1 of last 3 | Yaxel 1 of last 2

Odds: +1490

3+ Stephen Curry Three Pointers Made Stephen Curry Three Pointers Made
3+ Desmond Bane Three Pointers Made Desmond Bane Three Pointers Made
3+ Devin Booker Three Pointers Made Devin Booker Three Pointers Made
3+ Yaxel Lendeborg Three Pointers Made Yaxel Lendeborg Three Pointers Made
Ends in: --:--
Bet Count: 127
SGPx

Court Vision

6+ Ast: Curry, Giannis last 3 | Booker 2 of last 5 | Green 5 of last 6

Odds: +1166

6+ Stephen Curry Assists Stephen Curry Assists
6+ Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists
6+ Devin Booker Assists Devin Booker Assists
6+ Draymond Green Assists Draymond Green Assists
Ends in: --:--
Quick SGP

Splash Brothers

Steph and Klay face off against each other tonight. Back them both to have big games!

Odds: +750

30+ Stephen Curry Points Stephen Curry Points
15+ Klay Thompson Points Klay Thompson Points
5+ Stephen Curry Three Pointers Made Stephen Curry Three Pointers Made
4+ Klay Thompson Three Pointers Made Klay Thompson Three Pointers Made
Ends in: --:--
+ Add to Bet Slip

DK Network AI is your always-on content co-pilot, built to help bring stories to life faster and smarter. Every AI-assisted article receives human editorial oversight and final approval from a DraftKings Network editor before publication.

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