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Prediction, pick for Mantas Kondratavicius vs. Andre Petroski at UFC Vegas 124

Prediction, pick for Mantas Kondratavicius vs. Andre Petroski at UFC Vegas 124

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By: Ryan Wohl

Tonight’s UFC Fight Night card features a three-round Middleweight fight between Mantas Kondratavicius and Andre Petroski on the Prelims. The prelims begin at 5:00 p.m. ET and air on Paramount+. Petroski enters this fight on a three-fight losing streak as Kondratavicius has won four straight contests. Petroski was originally scheduled to face Azamat Bekoev last week. But Bekoev withdrew, causing Petroski to switch his fight date and opponent. 

Check out my best bet below for Mantas Kondratavicius vs. Andre Petroski at tonight’s UFC Fight Night.

Mantas Kondratavicius to Win by KO/TKO/DQ (-175)

Andre Petroski, 35, is 13-7 with eight finishes in his MMA career. He has competed in the UFC since 2021, where he has gone 8-5. After suffering three straight losses, Petroski’s last win came in February 2025 against Rodolfo Vieira. Bekoev is an all-action style fighter, as his last five fights have ended by submission or knockout. 

In March, Kondratavicius beat Antonio Trocoli in his UFC debut by unanimous decision. Before that, Kondratavicius had three straight first-round finishes, including a knockout on Dana White’s Contender Series in September 2025. Overall, Kondratavicius has a 9-1 record with eight finishes. 

In this fight, Kondratavicius is a -285 favorite, while Petroski is a +230 underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook. The over/under is set at 1.5 rounds, with the under at -215 and the over at +165. This fight is also -550 not to go the distance and +350 to last the scheduled 15 minutes. In this fight, Kondratavicius has a two-inch edge in height (6’2″ vs. 6’0″) and standing reach (75″ vs. 73”). 

Petroski’s sample size is much larger, with 13 UFC fights compared to Kondratavicius’s two (including his appearance on DWCS). Kondratavicius averages 2.22 more significant strikes and lands at a 17 percent higher rate than Petroski. On the ground, Petroski lands more takedowns per 15 minutes, while both have elite takedown defense. 

With Kondratavicius’ size advantage and elite striking, he should have the edge in this contest. Two of Kondratavicius’ previous three wins have come by knockout. Also, six of Kondratavicius’ last eight victories have come by knockout. That is why I’m taking him to win by KO/TKO/DQ at -175.

Stats provided by UFC Stats.

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Ryan is a University of Arizona graduate and Philadelphia native. Since 2024, he has been a writer for DraftKings Network, primarily covering combat sports. He is a big Philly sports fan and loves to collect sneakers, as well.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

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