Looking for #16 Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. #22 LSU Tigers betting trends and odds? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Point Spread, Total and Moneyline betting percentages, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before kickoff on Saturday.
Mississippi State vs. LSU Best Picks Today
- LSU -15.5 (-112): LSU draws only 26% of Point Spread bets but 50% of the handle, the clearest sign of bigger money laying the points.
- Over 57.5 (-105): The Over has 68% of bets and 77% of the money, and the two offenses average a combined 81.0 points per game.
- Anthony Evans Receiving Yards 70+ (+102): Evans has 574 receiving yards on 40 catches in five games, an average of 114.8 yards per game.
Game Info
| Kickoff | Saturday, October 17 at 12:00 p.m. ET |
| Venue | Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA |
| TV | ESPN |
Mississippi State vs. LSU Odds
| Market | Tigers (Home) | Bulldogs (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Point Spread | -15.5 (-112) | +15.5 (-108) |
| Total | Over 57.5 (-105) | Under 57.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | -700 | +500 |
DraftKings Betting Trends
| Market | Side | Bets % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Spread | LSU -15.5 | 26% | 50% |
| Point Spread | Mississippi State +15.5 | 74% | 50% |
| Total | Over 57.5 | 68% | 77% |
| Total | Under 57.5 | 32% | 23% |
| Moneyline | LSU | 73% | 76% |
| Moneyline | Mississippi State | 27% | 24% |
The biggest gap is on the Point Spread, where the public is on Mississippi State with 74% of bets but the handle is divided evenly. That leaves the larger average wagers on LSU -15.5.
QB Matchup
| Stat | Sam Leavitt (LSU) | Kamario Taylor (MSST) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-2 | 4-1 |
| Comp% | 67.6% | 66.2% |
| Pass YPG | 249.3 | 290.0 |
| TD/INT | 10/8 | 17/4 |
| Passer Rating | 150.1 | 176.6 |
Team Comparison
| Stat | LSU | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 42.0 | 39.0 |
| Points Allowed/Game | 18.5 | 28.0 |
| Yards/Game | 524.8 | 487.0 |
| Yards Allowed/Game | 250.7 | 379.6 |
| 3rd Down % | 52.2% | 47.6% |
| Turnovers | 10 | 7 |
Key Matchup Numbers
- Mississippi State injury questions: Quarterback Kamario Taylor is listed as questionable with a leg injury that forced him out of the Bulldogs’ loss to Alabama two weeks ago. Leading rusher Fluff Bothwell, who has 403 rushing yards, is also questionable.
- Money on the favorite: LSU -15.5 has just 26% of tickets but half the handle, so the larger wagers are laying the points with LSU at home.
- LSU’s third downs vs. a leaky defense: LSU converts 52.2% of third downs and averages 524.8 yards per game. Mississippi State allows 379.6 yards and 28.0 points per game.
- Turnover risk: LSU has 10 turnovers, and Sam Leavitt has thrown eight interceptions. The Tigers are coming off an overtime loss to Kentucky, while Mississippi State was off last week.
DraftKings Player Props
- Anthony Evans (MSST) Receiving Yards 70+ (+102): plus money well below his 114.8 receiving yards per game
- Sam Leavitt (LSU) Passing Yards 260+ (-113): faces a defense allowing 379.6 total yards per game
- Winston Watkins (LSU) Receiving Yards 70+ (+126): LSU’s leading receiver has 416 yards on 29 catches
- Dilin Jones (LSU) Rushing Yards 90+ (-121): LSU’s leading rusher has 482 yards and five touchdowns on 110 carries
- Jackson Harris (LSU) Receiving Yards 60+ (+132): plus money one step above his 51+ line (-113)
FAQs
What are the Mississippi State vs. LSU odds this week?
LSU is a 15.5-point home favorite at DraftKings Sportsbook, with the Point Spread set at LSU -15.5 (-112). The Total is set at 57.5, and LSU is -700 on the Moneyline, while Mississippi State is +500.
What are CFB betting trends?
Betting trends show how the public is wagering on a game by breaking down the percentage of total bets (tickets) and total money (handle) on each side of a market. They help identify which side recreational bettors favor versus where larger, potentially sharper money is landing.
What is the difference between bets and handle?
Bets refer to the number of individual tickets placed, while handle represents the total dollar amount wagered. A side with low bet percentage but high handle percentage suggests fewer bettors placing larger wagers, often interpreted as sharp or professional action.
How do betting trends identify sharp money?
Sharp money refers to wagers placed by professional or highly informed bettors. It is typically identified through handle-vs-bet discrepancies: when a side draws a disproportionate share of money relative to its ticket count, sharps are likely involved.