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Prediction, pick for Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller at UFC Edmonton

Prediction, pick for Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller at UFC Edmonton

Published:

By: Cooper Albers

A former title challenger welcomes a debuting prospect on Saturday night, as women’s flyweights Katlyn Cerminara and Mackenzie Stiller collide at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott in Edmonton, Canada. 

Cerminara (18–6, 11–6 UFC) returns after more than two years away from the cage, eyeing her first victory since 2022. Stiller (6–1, 0–0 UFC) will make her first Octagon walk, riding momentum from three straight LFA submission wins. 

Cerminara enters as a heavy -265 moneyline favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook. Stiller is a +215 underdog, with the fight total set at O/U 2.5 rounds.

Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller Fight Preview

Katlyn Cerminara

  • 18–6 (11–6 UFC)
  • 2–2 (T)KO
  • 1–0 SUB

Katlyn Cerminara looks to turn back the clock in just her second fight in the last four years—and the first since she dropped a decision to Maycee Barber in March 2024. “Blonde Fighter” returns to the cage at 37, raising questions about whether she can keep competing at this level.

Fortunately, the former title challenger faces a favorable matchup on Saturday night against debuting prospect Mackenzie Stiller. Cerminara holds an overwhelming edge in Octagon experience, with an 8–4 record at flyweight. The veteran also has a towering size advantage—seven inches in height, six in reach—and will look to manage distance and land shots from range. Although she lacks sturdy takedown defense, Cerminara has never been submitted in her career—a promising sign against the grapple-heavy newcomer.

Mackenzie Stiller

  • 6–1 (UFC Debut)
  • 0–1 (T)KO
  • 5–0 SUB

Fresh off an appearance on The Ultimate Fighter, Mackenzie Stiller is set for her Octagon debut. “Mack-Judo” is a formidable grappler with a dangerous submission arsenal, and she’s won each of her last three fights by tap-out. 

The former Bellator contender, 27, will likely try to implement her explosive grappling against veteran striker Katlyn Cerminara. That said, Stiller may struggle closing the distance at a significant size disadvantage, and without much of a striking profile to set up takedowns. On Saturday, she’ll look to overcome the odds in — by far — the toughest test of her young career.

Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller Pick, Best Bet

Inactivity be damned. Seasoned veteran Katlyn Cerminara’s unmatched Octagon experience should give her multiple pathways to stumping the debuting Mackenzie Stiller. With a massive size advantage and a clear striking edge, she should lead the dance on the feet. Additionally, her submission immunity suggests she’ll stay out of harm’s way against the promotional newcomer. With a decision win priced at -200, there’s slightly better value in backing Cerminara to get the nod on all three scorecards. 

Best Bet: Katlyn Cerminara by Unanimous Decision (-160)

Cooper is a Brooklyn-based writer and editor who joined DraftKings in September 2025. A recent graduate of Jay-Z’s Roc Nation School of Sports at Long Island University, he served as the chief sports editor of the campus newspaper and the lead sideline reporter for the men’s basketball team. His previous stops include amNewYork and the New York Post.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.