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Prediction, pick for Loopy Godinez vs. Ketlen Souza at UFC Vegas 122

Prediction, pick for Loopy Godinez vs. Ketlen Souza at UFC Vegas 122

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By: Cooper Albers

Women’s strawweights collide on Saturday night as Loopy Godinez faces Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan inside the Meta APEX.

Godinez (14–6, 9–6 UFC) has dropped three of her last five bouts, coming off a second-round submission loss to Tatiana Suarez at UFC 327 in April. Souza (17–6, 4–3 UFC) has won back-to-back bouts, punctuated by a first-round knockout victory over Ariane Carnelossi in June. 

Godinez enters as a considerable -230 moneyline favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook. Souza is a +190 underdog, with the fight total set at O/U 2.5 rounds.

Loopy Godinez vs. Ketlen Souza Fight Preview

Loopy Godinez (#8)

  • 14–6 (9–6 UFC)
  • 1–0 (T)KO
  • 2–1 SUB

Even amid a turbulent run of form, Loopy Godinez remains a dangerous opponent at 115 pounds. The Mexican contender, 33, has consistently battled the division’s elite; her last three losses came against No. 3-ranked Virna Jandiroba, No. 2 Tatiana Suarez, and current champion Mackenzie Dern. 

Each of those losses came against dominant grapplers. But on Saturday, Godinez should hold a clear edge on the ground over Ketlen Souza. With both fighters being skilled boxers, Godinez — who faces a slight reach and serious power disadvantage — could lean on her impressive striking defense (62 percent) and the threat of the takedown.

Ketlen Souza

  • 17–6 (4–3 UFC)
  • 9–2 (T)KO
  • 2–2 SUB

Ketlen Souza enters Saturday night looking to punch her way into the strawweight top 15. The Brazilian contender, 32, reminded the world of her fight-ending power earlier this year in a rematch with Ariane Carnelossi, starching her opponent inside two minutes. 

Loopy Godinez marks a notable climb in competition for Souza, especially given the latter’s past struggles in the grappling department. In her most recent loss — a split decision against Piera Rodriguez in August 2025 — Souza was taken down seven times on 10 attempts. That said, “Esquenadinha” is an explosive boxer with a slight reach advantage over Godinez, giving her a puncher’s chance if she can keep things standing.

Loopy Godinez vs. Ketlen Souza Pick, Best Bet

Virtually all signs point to Loopy Godinez getting her hand raised on Saturday night. She’s battle-tested, defensively sound, and formidable on the ground, giving her multiple pathways to staying out of harm’s way. That said, she arrives with practically zero finishing upside and would most likely win on the scorecards. But although Ketlen Souza doesn’t have the same proven track record against top-notch competition, her knockout power keeps her one shot away from victory. 

Best Bet: Loopy Godinez by Decision or Ketlen Souza by KO/TKO/DQ (-185)

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Cooper is a Brooklyn-based writer and editor who joined DraftKings in September 2025. A recent graduate of Jay-Z’s Roc Nation School of Sports at Long Island University, he served as the chief sports editor of the campus newspaper and the lead sideline reporter for the men’s basketball team. His previous stops include amNewYork and the New York Post.
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