If the Los Angeles Dodgers want to become the first back-to-back-to-back World Series champions since the 1998-2000 New York Yankees, tonight’s NLDS Game 3 against the Atlanta Braves will be pivotal. In best-of-five series, the Game 3 winner has gone on to claim the series more than 70% of the time.
Among the four Division Series, this Dodgers-Braves matchup is the only one tied after two games. The winner of tonight’s 6 p.m. ET showdown will put themselves in pole position to likely face off against the Milwaukee Brewers in the NLCS, and the loser will be pushed to the brink.
Both teams will start their aces, who could finish second and third in NL Cy Young Award voting. Atlanta is a -110 favorite at DraftKings Sportsbook behind Chris Sale, but Los Angeles (-109) should feel confident about starting World Series MVP Yoshinobu Yamamoto.
Below, I’ll break down my favorite prop bets from tonight’s pivotal affair, focusing on one player from each team.
Dodgers at Braves Best Prop Bets Tonight for Tuesday 10/6/26
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 4 or Fewer Hits Allowed (+104)
It’s obviously early in his career, but if he qualified for all-time career leaderboards, Yamamoto would have the lowest WHIP and batting average against in MLB history. Plus-odds for the greatest hit-preventing pitcher ever to play the game is a steal. He allowed four or fewer base hits in 14 of his 28 starts (implied +100 odds) despite leading all of baseball in innings per start, and he’s gotten even better in the playoffs, stymying opposition to the tune of a .176 batting average across nine starts and one famous relief appearance. Yamamoto gave up four or fewer hits in six of those nine starts, and it’s quite possible that he’ll be pulled a little bit earlier than usual in order to save his arm to pitch either tomorrow in Game 4 or (more likely) Friday in Game 5.
For all of pundits’ concerns about the Dodgers’ offensive performance in the first two games of the series, the Braves haven’t had a stellar start to the playoffs on that side of the ball, either. So far these playoffs, Atlanta has hit just .204, the third-worst mark among remaining teams, and it’s hitting just .161 this series, far worse than Los Angeles’ league-best .215. The Braves have posted a batting average 10 points higher against righties than lefties and 25 points higher at home than on the road, but Yamamoto has been utterly spectacular against lefties and has a sub-2 road ERA for his career.
Michael Harris II 1+ Extra-Base Hits (+239)
At least one of those four hits will come from Harris, who was Atlanta’s hero on Sunday night, finishing a home run shy of the cycle and both scoring and driving in a run. To his credit, Harris has had an extremely hot playoff run so far, slashing .400/.429/.700 in his first five games and recording an extra-base hit on two separate occasions, and he had four doubles in his last five games of the regular season. He also doubled and homered in the Braves’ 5-4 loss to the San Diego Padres in 2024 that ultimately knocked them out of the postseason.
Harris is the rare lefty equipped to get to Yamamoto. Against southpaws, Yamamoto largely eschews his sinker and throws his splitter and four-seam fastball in identical proportions, but Harris, despite comparatively struggling against right-handed sinkers and curveballs, sees four-seamers and splitters well. He posted a .783 SLG against righty splitters and a .610 SLG against righty four-seamers this season, and he went one-for-three in the only game in which he faced Yamamoto this season. Harris could’ve doubled to the gap against him in a May 2025 game had Dodgers left fielder Michael Conforto not gotten a good jump.
More MLB Content & Betting Picks
- MLB Best Bets: Home Run Props for Tuesday 10/6/26
- Best Chris Sale Prop Bet for Dodgers vs. Braves NLDS Game 3 on Tuesday 10/6/26
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