Kyle Pitts Receptions Pick for Falcons vs. Saints

The Atlanta Falcons will attempt to build on their first win of the season as they visit the New Orleans Saints for an NFL Week 4 matchup on Monday Night Football.

Atlanta’s attack came alive under returning QB Michael Penix Jr., who tossed for 256 yards and a touchdown in the team’s 35–14 upset win over the Packers in Green Bay. Still, one pertinent question surrounding the Falcons’ offense remains: what in the world is going on with Kyle Pitts?

Kickoff from Caesars Superdome is at 8:15 p.m. ET. The Saints are 1.5-point home favorites with -122 moneyline odds on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Falcons are +102 underdogs, with the game total set at O/U 47.5 points. 

Let’s dive into the top Kyle Pitts prop bet for Monday’s primetime clash between the Falcons and the Saints.

Kyle Pitts Receptions Pick for Falcons vs. Saints

Best Bet: Kyle Pitts Under 2.5 Receptions (+127)

Inconsistency — one of the defining characteristics of Kyle Pitts’ NFL career so far — has followed him into 2026. Even after erupting down the stretch last year and fetching a massive contract extension over the summer, the young tight end is still struggling to carve out a foothold in Atlanta’s offense. 

Pitts, 25, has recorded only two receptions on just six targets for 20 yards through three games. And although the Falcons were plagued by brutal quarterback play for the first two weeks, Pitts remained an afterthought as Michael Penix Jr. returned from a torn ACL in Week 3.  Pitts played just 59 percent of offensive snaps and garnered two looks for a five-yard catch.

A matchup with New Orleans and its underwhelming defense leaves the door open for a potential bounce-back effort, with the Saints allowing the NFL’s seventh-most targets and receptions to opposing tight ends. That said, Pitts’ volatility remains a massive issue in Year 6 — and his current standing in Atlanta’s pass-catching pecking order leaves serious doubt that he’ll record 3+ receptions for the first time this year on Monday Night Football.