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Prediction, pick for Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca at UFC Paris

Prediction, pick for Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca at UFC Paris

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By: Ryan Wohl

Nathaniel Wood faces Pavel Andrusca today in a three-round Featherweight contest on the UFC Fight Night Prelims. Wood is on a four-fight winning streak, while Pavel Andrusca has an undefeated 8-0 record. Nathaniel Wood was originally scheduled to face Mairon Santos, but Pavel Andrusca stepped up on short notice after Santos withdrew. 

Check out my best bet below for Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca at today’s UFC Fight Night in Paris.

Nathaniel Wood to Win by Decision (-110)

Seven of Andrusca’s eight victories have come by finish, and his last two wins were in UAE Warriors. Since 2022, Wood is 7-1 in his previous eight contests. Wood’s last win came against Losene Keita in March. Andrusca is slightly taller, but Wood has a three-inch reach advantage (69″ vs. 66″). 

Wood is a -298 favorite, with Andrusca being a +240 underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook. This fight’s over/under is 2.5 rounds, with the over at -175 and the under at +135. This contest is -150 to go the distance and +110 not to last the scheduled 15 minutes. 

Even though Andrusca is a skilled prospect at just 23, he could struggle against UFC veteran Wood. Wood has 13 finishes, but his last eight victories have come by decision. I think Wood will break down Andrusca throughout this contest with his elite striking. I’m backing Wood to win by decision at -110.

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