Looking for today’s MLB betting splits and odds? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Moneyline, Run Line and total betting percentages for every game on Thursday’s slate, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before first pitch.
Today’s MLB Slate
Game
Time (ET)
Moneyline
Total
Giants @ Pirates
12:45 PM
PIT -164 / SF +136
O/U 9
Blue Jays @ Guardians
1:10 PM
CLE -110 / TOR -109
O/U 8
White Sox @ Astros
2:10 PM
HOU -163 / CWS +134
O/U 8.5
Red Sox @ Orioles
7:15 PM
BAL +113 / BOS -136
O/U 8.5
Brewers @ Cubs
7:15 PM
CHC -103 / MIL -117
O/U 8.5
Marlins @ Royals
7:40 PM
KC -107 / MIA -112
O/U 9
Rays @ Rangers
8:05 PM
TEX +108 / TB -130
O/U 8
Athletics @ Mariners
9:40 PM
SEA -218 / ATH +177
O/U 7
Cardinals @ Dodgers
10:10 PM
LAD -313 / STL +248
O/U 8
Best Bets for Thursday’s MLB Slate
Marlins at Royals Over 9 (-112): The widest sharp split on the slate. Just 31% of bets, but 96% of handle sits on the Over, a clear signal from the sharp side of the market.
Rays Moneyline (-130): Tampa Bay is collecting 99% of handle against just 83% of bets. McClanahan’s 3.19 ERA on the road backs the sharp lean.
Brewers Moneyline (-117): Sharp money is pouring in at 92% of handle versus 63% of bets. Henderson’s 2.48 ERA and 0.825 WHIP create a massive pitching edge over Gausman’s 5.14 ERA.
Tarik Skubal Over 8.5 Strikeouts (+120): Skubal has cleared 5.5 strikeouts in 9 of his last 10 starts. His 30.6 K% is the highest on Thursday’s slate, and the Cardinals rank among the more strikeout-prone lineups.
Lawrence Butler Over 0.5 Hits (-131): Butler has recorded at least one hit in all 10 of his last 10 games. The line is short for a reason.
Giants at Pirates Odds and Splits
Market
Home (PIT)
Away (SF)
Bets %
Handle %
Moneyline
-164
+136
70% / 30%
86% / 14%
Run Line
-1.5 (+128)
+1.5 (-155)
70% / 30%
92% / 8%
Total
Over 9 (-102)
Under 9 (-119)
38% / 63%
29% / 71%
Pitching Matchup
Stat
Lake Bachar (PIT)
Blade Tidwell (SF)
Record
1-3
0-1
ERA
3.24
4.54
WHIP
1.080
1.221
K%
24.2%
20.1%
HR/9
2.16
1.20
Sharp money is overwhelmingly on Pittsburgh, with 92% of Run Line handle backing the Pirates -1.5. The Under is also attracting significant handle at 71%, suggesting sharps expect Bachar’s 3.24 ERA to keep this one low-scoring.
Toronto is a significant sharp lean in a near-pick’em, collecting 76% of Moneyline handle despite only 62% of bets. Soriano’s 11-7 record and Bibee’s 5-14 mark may be fueling the confidence, though Bibee owns the better ERA and WHIP.
White Sox at Astros Odds and Splits
Market
Home (HOU)
Away (CWS)
Bets %
Handle %
Moneyline
-163
+134
70% / 30%
86% / 14%
Run Line
-1.5 (+129)
+1.5 (-156)
36% / 64%
100% / 0%
Total
Over 8.5 (-105)
Under 8.5 (-114)
37% / 63%
22% / 78%
Pitching Matchup
Stat
Hunter Brown (HOU)
Luis Castillo (CWS)
Record
4-3
4-10
ERA
3.33
6.45
WHIP
1.296
1.657
K%
25.3%
19.4%
HR/9
1.11
2.82
Sharp money is aggressively on Houston to cover, with 100% of Run Line handle on the Astros -1.5. Castillo’s 6.45 ERA and 2.82 HR/9 create a significant pitching mismatch that sharps are exploiting.
Red Sox at Orioles Odds and Splits
Market
Home (BAL)
Away (BOS)
Bets %
Handle %
Moneyline
+113
-136
16% / 84%
5% / 95%
Run Line
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
40% / 60%
0% / 100%
Total
Over 8.5 (-105)
Under 8.5 (-114)
58% / 42%
55% / 45%
Pitching Matchup
Stat
Brandon Young (BAL)
Jake Bennett (BOS)
Record
9-3
9-6
ERA
3.38
3.27
WHIP
1.335
1.036
K%
18.5%
19.8%
HR/9
1.17
0.67
Boston is one of Thursday’s sharpest plays, drawing 95% of Moneyline handle and 100% of Run Line handle. Bennett’s 1.036 WHIP is the second-lowest among all starters on the slate, and his 0.67 HR/9 creates a clear edge over Young’s 1.335 WHIP.
Brewers at Cubs Odds and Splits
Market
Home (CHC)
Away (MIL)
Bets %
Handle %
Moneyline
-103
-117
37% / 63%
8% / 92%
Run Line
+1.5 (-181)
-1.5 (+149)
62% / 38%
14% / 86%
Total
Over 8.5 (-102)
Under 8.5 (-118)
60% / 40%
43% / 57%
Pitching Matchup
Stat
Kevin Gausman (CHC)
Logan Henderson (MIL)
Record
8-11
9-2
ERA
5.14
2.48
WHIP
1.214
0.825
K%
25.0%
30.1%
HR/9
1.61
1.30
The pitching mismatch is the story. Henderson’s 0.825 WHIP is the lowest of any starter on Thursday’s slate, and sharps have noticed: 92% of Moneyline handle backs Milwaukee despite the Cubs being the slight home favorite.
Marlins at Royals Odds and Splits
Market
Home (KC)
Away (MIA)
Bets %
Handle %
Moneyline
-107
-112
32% / 68%
45% / 55%
Run Line
+1.5 (-167)
-1.5 (+138)
64% / 36%
15% / 85%
Total
Over 9 (-112)
Under 9 (-108)
31% / 69%
96% / 4%
Pitching Matchup
Stat
Michael Wacha (KC)
Sandy Alcantara (MIA)
Record
8-8
13-8
ERA
3.32
3.46
WHIP
1.096
1.186
K%
19.8%
17.9%
HR/9
1.16
0.85
Thursday’s biggest sharp signal lives in this total. Just 31% of bets sit on the Over 9, but a staggering 96% of the handle backs it. Miami is also drawing 85% of Run Line handle at -1.5, pointing to sharp confidence in the Marlins on the road.
Rays at Rangers Odds and Splits
Market
Home (TEX)
Away (TB)
Bets %
Handle %
Moneyline
+108
-130
17% / 83%
1% / 99%
Run Line
+1.5 (-162)
-1.5 (+134)
52% / 48%
7% / 93%
Total
Over 8 (-103)
Under 8 (-116)
56% / 44%
99% / 1%
Pitching Matchup
Stat
Cal Quantrill (TEX)
Shane McClanahan (TB)
Record
6-5
10-6
ERA
3.01
3.19
WHIP
1.104
1.106
K%
18.5%
22.1%
HR/9
1.10
0.72
Tampa Bay is generating near-unanimous sharp support, with 99% of Moneyline handle and 93% of Run Line handle. The Over is also attracting 99% of the handle, making this one of the most one-sided sharp leans on the entire slate.
Athletics at Mariners Odds and Splits
Market
Home (SEA)
Away (ATH)
Bets %
Handle %
Moneyline
-218
+177
88% / 12%
83% / 17%
Run Line
-1.5 (+104)
+1.5 (-126)
74% / 26%
92% / 8%
Total
Over 7 (-120)
Under 7 (+100)
82% / 18%
99% / 1%
Pitching Matchup
Stat
Kade Anderson (SEA)
Jack Perkins (ATH)
Record
0-0
3-10
ERA
4.50
6.42
WHIP
1.300
1.490
K%
19.5%
25.2%
HR/9
1.80
1.70
Public and sharp money are aligned on Seattle across the board. Perkins’ 6.42 ERA and 1.490 WHIP make the Athletics a tough sell, and the Over 7 is collecting 99% of handle despite both pitchers owning ERAs above 4.50.
Cardinals at Dodgers Odds and Splits
Market
Home (LAD)
Away (STL)
Bets %
Handle %
Moneyline
-313
+248
80% / 20%
47% / 53%
Run Line
-1.5 (-136)
+1.5 (+113)
81% / 19%
100% / 0%
Total
Over 8 (-102)
Under 8 (-118)
57% / 43%
100% / 0%
Pitching Matchup
Stat
Tarik Skubal (LAD)
Quinn Mathews (STL)
Record
8-7
1-2
ERA
3.00
5.03
WHIP
1.033
1.576
K%
30.6%
22.5%
HR/9
0.60
0.46
The Cardinals are drawing 53% of Moneyline handle as a +248 underdog, but the Run Line tells the full story: 100% of handle backs Los Angeles -1.5. Skubal’s 30.6 K% is the highest of any starter on Thursday’s slate, and his 3.00 ERA dwarfs Mathews’ 5.03.
Notable Player Props
Tarik Skubal (LAD) Strikeouts O/U 8.5 (+120 / -154) — over 5.5 K in 9 of his last 10 starts.
Lawrence Butler (ATH) Hits O/U 0.5 (-131 / -101) — at least one hit in 10 of his last 10 games.
Jackson Chourio (MIL) Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 1.5 (-145 / +109) — over in 8 of last 10.
Brett Bateman (CLE) Hits O/U 0.5 (-245 / +181) — at least one hit in 8 of last 10.
Chandler Simpson (TB) Hits O/U 0.5 (-257 / +189) — at least one hit in 8 of last 10.
Steven Kwan (CLE) Hits O/U 0.5 (-254 / +187) — at least one hit in 7 of last 10.
Oneil Cruz (PIT) Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 1.5 (-129 / -103) — over in 7 of last 10.
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