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Prediction, pick for Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld at UFC Vegas 120

Prediction, pick for Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld at UFC Vegas 120

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By: Ryan Wohl

The Main Event of tonight’s UFC Fight Night features a top-15 matchup in the Lightweight division between No. 8 Mateusz Gamrot vs. No. 12 Quillan Salkilld. Tonight’s UFC Fight Night Main Card begins at 8:00 p.m. ET, airing on Paramount+. After being on the road the last three weeks, this card will take place in Las Vegas, Nevada, at the Meta Apex. 

Check out my best bet below for Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld at today’s UFC Fight Night.

Quillan Salkilld Moneyline (-142)

Gamrot is 9-3 in his previous 12 contests in the UFC with losses to Beneil Dariush, Dan Hooker and Charles Oliveira. At UFC 327 in April, Gamrot got back on track with a second-round submission over Esteban Ribovics. Salkilld has started his UFC career 5-0 with four finishes and has already picked up first-round finishes this year against Jamie Mullarkey and Beneil Dariush. 

On DraftKings Sportsbook, Salkilld is a -142 favorite with Gamrot as a +120 underdog. This fight has an over/under of 3.5 rounds, with the over being -140 and the under being +110. Salkilld is the bigger fighter in this bout as he has the height (6’0″ vs. 5’10”) and reach (75″ vs. 70″) advantage over Gamrot. 

Salkilld appears to have potential to join Alexander Volkanovski, Robert Whittaker and Jack Della Maddalena as Australian UFC Champions. At 26 years old, if Salkilld adds tough veteran Gamrot to his resume, it would immediately put him amongst the top fighters at 155 pounds. Through five fights in the UFC, Salkilld has shown his versatility, with finishing ability on the feet and on the ground. Salkilld is averaging 5.01 significant strikes per minute while landing 7.25 takedowns per 15 minutes, which is extremely impressive. Salkilld is the only fighter in UFC history to land at least four strikes per minute and six takedowns per 15 minutes. Although Gamrot may show some resistance early in the contest, Salkilld has all of the tools to break him down throughout 25 minutes or score a finish. 

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Ryan is a University of Arizona graduate and Philadelphia native. Since 2024, he has been a writer for DraftKings Network, primarily covering combat sports. He is a big Philly sports fan and loves to collect sneakers, as well.
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