Looking for today’s Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Yankees betting splits? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Moneyline, Run Line and total betting percentages, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before first pitch.
Phillies vs. Yankees Odds
| Market | Phillies (Home) | Yankees (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -136 | +113 |
| Run Line | -1.5 (+158) | +1.5 (-193) |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-109) | Under 7.5 (-110) |
Philadelphia opens as a moderate home favorite at -136 on the Moneyline, with the total set at O/U 7.5. The Run Line prices the Phillies at +158 to cover -1.5, reflecting a competitive matchup between two second-place clubs separated by just one game in the standings.
DraftKings Betting Splits
| Market | Side | Bets % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Phillies | 48% | 41% |
| Moneyline | Yankees | 52% | 59% |
| Run Line | Phillies -1.5 | 38% | 77% |
| Run Line | Yankees +1.5 | 62% | 23% |
| Total | Over 7.5 | 61% | 96% |
| Total | Under 7.5 | 39% | 4% |
Public Betting Trends
The Moneyline market is nearly split by ticket count, with 52% of bets on the Yankees and 48% on the Phillies. However, the money tells a different story on the Run Line, where 77% of handle is backing Philadelphia -1.5 despite only 38% of tickets landing on that side. That 39-point gap between bet percentage and handle percentage is a classic sharp money indicator, suggesting larger, more informed wagers are confident the Phillies win by two or more runs.
The total market shows an even more dramatic divergence. While 61% of tickets are on the Over 7.5, an overwhelming 96% of the handle backs the Over. Just 4% of money is on the Under despite 39% of bets landing there. This is the most lopsided handle-to-bet split on the board, pointing to extremely heavy sharp action on the Over.
On the Moneyline itself, the Yankees attract 59% of handle to go with 52% of bets. The alignment between bets and handle on that side is relatively proportional, suggesting more of a public lean than a sharp signal. The truly sharp indicators in this matchup point toward Philadelphia on the Run Line and the game going Over the total.
Phillies vs. Yankees Stats
Team Batting Stats
| Team | AVG | OBP | SLG | ISO | OPS | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | .236 | .303 | .402 | .166 | .705 | 23.8% |
| Yankees | .236 | .315 | .420 | .184 | .735 | 24.1% |
Team Pitching Stats
| Team | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | K/BB | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 4.27 | 1.317 | 9.89 | 3.34 | .255 |
| Yankees | 3.39 | 1.185 | 8.95 | 2.93 | .226 |
Starting Pitcher Stats
| Pitcher | Record | ERA | WHIP | FIP | xFIP | WAR | K% | BB% | HR/9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesus Luzardo (PHI) | 9-4 | 3.43 | 1.205 | 2.90 | 2.93 | 3.38 | 29.6% | 7.7% | 0.78 |
| Will Warren (NYY) | 7-4 | 4.00 | 1.374 | 4.11 | 3.95 | 1.26 | 22.4% | 7.9% | 1.27 |
Key Matchup Numbers
- Phillies Home Bats: Kyle Schwarber leads Philadelphia at home with a .995 OPS and 20 home runs, while Brandon Marsh hits .315 and Bryce Harper carries a .903 OPS in 182 at-bats at Citizens Bank Park.
- Yankees Road Bats: Ben Rice paces the Yankees on the road with a .962 OPS and 14 home runs across 200 at-bats, and Paul Goldschmidt contributes a .904 OPS with 9 road homers.
- Starting Pitching Edge: Luzardo holds a significant advantage by nearly every metric, with a 2.90 FIP, 3.38 WAR, and 29.6% strikeout rate compared to Warren’s 4.11 FIP, 1.26 WAR, and 22.4% K rate. Luzardo has also recorded 10 quality starts in 20 outings.
- Injury Impact: The Yankees are without Aaron Judge (rib, D60) and Giancarlo Stanton (leg, D10), removing their two most dangerous power bats. Philadelphia is missing outfielders Johan Rojas and Adolis Garcia (both D60) and backup catcher Garrett Stubbs (wrist, D10).
- Pitching Staff Context: New York’s pitching staff carries a 3.39 ERA and .226 opponent batting average, but Warren’s 1.27 HR/9 and 1.374 WHIP are liabilities against a Phillies lineup with Schwarber’s power and Harper’s consistency at home.
Philadelphia’s starting pitching advantage with Luzardo on the mound is the defining edge in this matchup, and the Phillies’ home OPS leaders provide ample run-scoring support against Warren’s elevated home-run rate. With Judge and Stanton both sidelined, the Yankees lose significant lineup depth, which aligns with the heavy sharp handle backing the Phillies Run Line and the Over total where both offenses are expected to produce against each other’s vulnerabilities.
Betting Splits Summary
| Metric | Phillies / Over | Yankees / Under |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline handle | 41% | 59% |
| Moneyline bets | 48% | 52% |
| Run Line handle | 77% | 23% |
| Run Line bets | 38% | 62% |
| Total handle | 96% | 4% |
| Total bets | 61% | 39% |
FAQs
What are MLB betting splits?
Betting splits show how the public is wagering on a game by breaking down the percentage of total bets (tickets) and total money (handle) on each side of a market. They help identify which side recreational bettors favor versus where larger, potentially sharper money is landing.
What is the difference between bets and handle?
Bets refer to the number of individual tickets placed, while handle represents the total dollar amount wagered. A side with low bet percentage but high handle percentage suggests fewer bettors placing larger wagers, often interpreted as sharp or professional action.
How do betting splits identify sharp money?
Sharp money refers to wagers placed by professional or highly informed bettors. It is typically identified through handle-vs-bet discrepancies: when a side draws a disproportionate share of money relative to its ticket count, sharps are likely involved.
Should you follow betting splits?
Splits are one tool among many. They are most useful when a clear divergence exists between public tickets and money handle, suggesting professional disagreement with the recreational consensus. They work best combined with line movement analysis and matchup context.
How often do DraftKings betting splits update?
DraftKings betting splits update approximately every two minutes, providing near real-time insight into how the market is moving as game time approaches.
What is the best bet for Phillies vs. Yankees?
The sharpest action by handle percentage is on the Over 7.5 at -109, with 96% of dollars backing that side despite only 61% of tickets. The Phillies Run Line -1.5 at +158 also draws heavy sharp interest with 77% of handle on just 38% of bets. Bettors looking for value may consider the Phillies Run Line given the significant handle-to-ticket divergence and the starting pitching mismatch favoring Luzardo.
