Looking for the best MLB prop bets today? We’ve got a few strong MLB props to target on the July 10 slate, including a team total, hitter prop, and pitcher prop. The Twins are in a great position against Grayson Rodriguez and his continued struggles, Matt Olson gets a favorable matchup against Kyle Leahy’s issues with left-handed hitters, and Tanner Gordon faces another difficult test against a Giants lineup that has already hit him hard twice this season. Let’s break down the best MLB prop bets today.
Today’s Best MLB Prop Bets: Twins team total over 4.5 runs, Matt Olson 2+ total bases, and Tanner Gordon over 2.5 earned runs allowed.
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Best MLB Prop Bets Today (July 10, 2026)
- Best Team Total: Twins team total over 4.5 runs: Grayson Rodriguez’s command issues and Minnesota’s success against fastballs make this my favorite offense tonight.
- Best Batter Prop: Matt Olson 2+ Total Bases: Olson draws another favorable lefty-righty matchup against Kyle Leahy.
- Best Pitcher Prop: Tanner Gordon over 2.5 earned runs allowed: The Giants have already hit Gordon hard twice this season and once again project to load up on left-handed bats.
Today’s MLB Prop Bets & Analysis (July 10, 2026)
Let’s break down the top MLB prop bets and picks for today. Click on each headline below to view the latest odds and bet these plays on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Minnesota Twins Team Total Over 4.5 Runs
Odds: -120 | Opponent: Los Angeles Angels
Grayson Rodriguez is scheduled to take the mound for the Angels tonight. It’s been a horrific stretch through six starts for the Angels starter, who through 25.2 innings sports a 8.06 ERA with an xERA of 7.22 and a 5.14 FIP. His control, which has been good in the past, is lost on him. He’s walked 15 batters already, giving him a 5.2 BB/9. Rodriguez is essentially throwing two pitches at this point, a fastball and a changeup. Opposing hitters have tagged his fastball with a .412 wOBA, which is amazing to think about when this is your main pitch, as he’s throwing it nearly 60% of the time.
The Twins are one of the best teams in baseball against four-seam fastballs, with tonight’s expected lineup combining for a .365 wOBA and a .259 ISO against it. Rodriguez, who has done a fairly good job at keeping the ball on the ground, is inducing a career-low 32% ground ball rate. Even with Rodriguez generating almost a strikeout per inning, he looks helpless when hitters are making contact. With the Twins excellent numbers against the four-seam, I think they’re putting up at least five runs tonight.
Matt Olson 2+ Total Bases
Odds: +102 | Opponent: St. Louis Cardinals
There is a chance this game could be delayed due to rain, so make sure to check out our MLB Rain Delay Watch article on DraftKings Network. If they’re clear to play, I like this spot for Olson to record 2+ total bases against Kyle Leahy and the Cardinals. Leahy is a major regression candidate, as his 3.86 ERA comes with an xERA of 5.56 and a 4.10 FIP. What isn’t a secret are his poor numbers against lefties. Leahy has been tagged with a .393 wOBA with a 4.92 FIP and a 1.2 HR/9. Olson has been hitting for a ton of power this season and his .276 ISO is the highest he’s posted since 2023. Olson is currently only four home runs away from tying his home run total of 29 last season.
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Tanner Gordon Over 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
Odds: -116 | Opponent: San Francisco Giants
Gordon has faced the Giants twice already this season and this prop has hit the over each time. Through eight innings, Gordon has allowed nine runs on 12 hits, including four home runs, to the Giants. One of the main reasons is the Giants ability to be very left-handed heavy with their lineup. Gordon hasn’t been good against either side of the plate but lefties in particular have been the problem. They’ve tagged him for a .454 wOBA, a 6.49 FIP and nine of the 11 home runs he’s allowed. The Giants will likely have six lefties in their lineup tonight, which is terrible news for Gordon.
More MLB Betting Content & Picks
Check out more MLB betting content and player props throughout the season on DraftKings Network.
- MLB Best Bets: Top home run props for Friday 7/10/26
- Best NRFI Bets Today: No Run First Inning MLB Picks for Friday 7/10/26
- Best MLB Parlays Today: Top Picks for Friday, July 10
Good luck with your MLB prop bets today!
