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Prediction, pick for Josh Padley vs. Aqib Fiaz

Prediction, pick for Josh Padley vs. Aqib Fiaz

Published:

By: Ryan Wohl

Current European Super Featherweight Champion Josh Padley is defending his title against Aqib Fiaz at today’s Matchroom Boxing event. Padley is 18-1, while his opponent’s record is currently 14-1. The ringwalks for this contest are expected to start at 4:31 p.m. ET.

Check out my best bet for Josh Padley vs. Aqib Fiaz, which is the Main Event of today’s Matchroom Boxing card.

Josh Padley by KO/TKO/DQ (+175)

Since suffering his first career loss against Shakur Stevenson in February 2025, Padley has won three straight, with two coming by knockout. In Padley’s first appearance of 2026, he beat Jaouad Belmehdi by second-round knockout in January. Fiaz has won two straight, but this is his first fight since July 2025.

Although both fighters have similar records, Padley possesses a massive advantage in experience. In BoxRec’s Super Featherweight division rankings, Padley is No. 20 while Fiaz is No. 285. Fiaz’s lone career loss came against Reece Bellotti in October 2023, who has a 20-7 record.

On DraftKings Sportsbook, Padley is a -350 favorite with Fiaz being a +260 underdog in this contest. This bout has an over/under of 10.5 rounds with the over at -235. Although Padley only has six knockouts in his career, five of them have come in the last three years. Five of Padley’s previous seven victories have been by KO/TKO/DQ. If Padley continues to come out aggressive with a high volume of punches, he should be able to finish this fight. You can get Padley to win by knockout at +175.

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