Sunday brings us more NFL Playoffs action with the final game of the Divisional Round kicking off at 6:30 p.m. EST. The Chicago Bears haven’t made the NFC Championship Game in 15 years, but Caleb Williams has his squad one win away from bringing the franchise a step closer to the promised land.
Chicago is a 4.5-point home underdog with the game total set at 48.5 points on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Here are the best Caleb Williams prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Bears vs. Rams on Sunday’s edition of the NFL Divisional Round.
Best Caleb Williams prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook
Were the Bears supposed to be here this year? In the first season under head coach Ben Johnson, probably not. Yet this group has snatched victory from the jaws of defeat week after week with plenty of scrappy comebacks over the course of the campaign. In the Wild Card against the division rival Green Bay Packers, Caleb Williams played one of the best games of his pro career as he orchestrated a second-half comeback for the ages. On the full sample of the regular season, the second-year gunslinger’s completion percentage cratered to just 59.1% but he made up for it with new career-highs of 3,942 passing yards and 27 touchdowns. It may not always be pretty, but the former Heisman winner does know how to make plays when it counts.
He’ll have to step up plenty this week against the Rams. This defense, coached by coordinator Chris Shula (a popular name in head coach interviews), looks like one of the NFL’s best when fully clicking. Los Angeles allows 20.9 points per game (10th) and 218.6 passing yards per game (20th) while sitting 10th-best in defensive EPA/pass. While the yardage mark and the 26 passing touchdowns allowed suggest they’re a smidge vulnerable via the pass, the Rams do have a ferocious pass rush that’ll look to disrupt the Bears’ timing throughout the day.
On DraftKings Sportsbook, Williams’ prop bet lines are set at O/U 32.5 pass attempts, 19.5 completions, 218.5 passing yards and 1.5 touchdowns. His longest completion prop comes in at 34.5 yards. The quarterback’s rushing props sit at 19.5 yards with +360 odds to score an anytime touchdown.
Los Angeles should look to keep Williams off balance via pressure, and given his low completion percentage this season, it wouldn’t be shocking to see him struggle to hit his receivers on a consistent basis. However, I’m actually very willing to suggest some of his overs given the potential game script. This game’s total of 48.5 points is the highest of the Divisional Round schedule and should lend itself to shootout conditions. With the Rams deploying an elite offense which can hang points on any opponent, they won’t find touchdowns difficult to come by. If Chicago falls behind due to a poor defense as seems likely, that could result in the Bears pushing the ball through the air at a much higher rate than seen in this attack throughout the regular season.
Volume should keep the overs on Williams’ lines in play on Sunday. He’ll likely be looking to keep pace with Matthew Stafford and his high-flying cast of teammates, potentially setting up a back-and-forth affair with plenty of scoring as projected by the total. The Bears’ young quarterback averaged 231.9 passing yards per game during the regular season and just posted 361 last week on 48 passing attempts, so it’s not unrealistic to assume he goes over his line of 218.5 here in the Divisional Round. Couple these factors with recent breakouts for tight end Colston Loveland and wideout Luther Burden, and suddenly this prop bet feels well within reach. After exceeding it in 10/18 games and three of his last four, I like this as a reliable option.
Best Bet: Caleb Williams over 218.5 passing yards (-111)
Click the odds of this bet to tail!
