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Josh Johnson best prop bet for Commanders vs. Cowboys on Thursday 12/25/25

Josh Johnson best prop bet for Commanders vs. Cowboys on Thursday 12/25/25

Published:

By: Alex Hunter

The Commanders are hosting the Cowboys on Christmas Day. On DraftKings Sportsbook, Dallas is favored by 8.5 points and this game carries a total of 50.5 points.

Below, I have featured my favorite Josh Johnson prop to consider from this contest.


Best Josh Johnson Prop Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook

Josh Johnson O 178.5 Passing Yards (-111)

Johnson will start at quarterback for the Commanders on Thursday with Jayden Daniels (elbow) and Marcus Mariota (hand) both out. This is Johnson’s first start since 2021, but in that game, the 39-year-old did throw for 304 yards vs. the Bengals. Still, this was four years ago and Johnson has only thrown 14 passes in NFL games since that start.

There is plenty of uncertainty surrounding Johnson, but one thing that is for certain is that he is in a truly elite matchup vs. the Cowboys. Dallas is allowing the most passing yards per game (272.9), the second-most yards per pass (7.7) and third-highest completion percentage this season (68.8%). In their 15 games, the Cowboys have allowed 13 quarterbacks to surpass 178.5 passing yards.

In fact, some very lackluster passers have had season-best showings vs. Dallas, most notably 450 yards from Russell Wilson in Week 2 and 283 yards from Justin Fields in Week 5. While we have nearly no data on Johnson’s current form, he does have two strong pass catchers in Terry McLaurin and Deebo Samuel at his disposal. Johnson should be competent enough to clear this very low 178.5 passing yard line on his home turf Thursday.


Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.