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Bijan Robinson best prop bet for Falcons at Buccaneers on Thursday 12/11/25

Bijan Robinson best prop bet for Falcons at Buccaneers on Thursday 12/11/25

NFL Sports Betting Picks DraftKings Sportsbook Insights

Published:

By: Alex Hunter

The Falcons are visiting the Buccaneers on Thursday. On DraftKings Sportsbook, Tampa Bay is favored by 4.5 points and this game carries a total of 44.5 points.

Below, I have featured my favorite Bijan Robinson prop to consider from this contest.

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Best Bijan Robinson Prop Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook

Bijan Robinson O 38.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Robinson has been an elite receiver out of the backfield this season, ranking second in receiving yards among running backs (602) – trailing only Christian McCaffrey – and Robinson has cleared 38.5 receiving yards in seven of his 12 games. Also among running backs, Robinson ranks second in yards per catch (10.8), third in target share (17.7%) and fifth in YPPR (1.85).

This Thursday will be the second time this season that Robinson has faced the Buccaneers and in the first matchup, he caught six of his seven targets for 100 yards and a touchdown. Tampa Bay is giving up the sixth-most yards per pass this season (7.1) and it has been especially weak at defending pass-catching backs. The Buccaneers are allowing the most receiving yards to the position (701) by a comfortable 75 yards.

Backs are averaging a league-high 10.3 yards per reception when facing Tampa Bay and the Falcons are likely to air it out as 4.5-point road underdogs. Robinson should produce a receiver-like receiving line in this spot and he is an outstanding bet for this over.

Alex Hunter
Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.