The featured bout of the UFC 323 Prelims is a Lightweight contest between Grant Dawson vs. Manuel Torres. Dawson is 11-1-1 in the UFC, and most recently beat Diego Ferreira at UFC 311 in January. His opponent, Torres, is 4-1 in the UFC with all four victories coming in the first round.
Check out my best bet for Grant Dawson vs. Manuel Torres at UFC 323.
Dawson vs. Torres Over 1.5 Rounds (+105)
Torres’ last 11 fights have ended in the first round, with his previous contest lasting more than one round in 2018. But he is now facing Dawson, who has more UFC experience as he has been in the promotion since 2019. Both fighters are 5’10” with Torres having a one-inch edge in standing reach (73″ vs. 72″).
Torres averages 7.87 significant strikes per minute, but Dawson is a good defensive fighter on the feet, as he only allows 2.11 significant strikes. On the ground, Dawson lands 1.87 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Torres does and must get the contest to the mat.
On DraftKings Sportsbook, Dawson is a -250 favorite as Torres is a +205 underdog. Dawson should be able to slow Torres’ aggressive striking attack on the feet. If he can mix in a few takedowns early in this contest, it will give him the advantage, as Torres has only fought 15 minutes once in his career. Dawson’s three previous fights have gone over 1.5 rounds and have had only one bout end in the first round in his 13 fights in the promotion.
