Vergil Ortiz Jr. is back to defend his Interim WBC Super Welterweight title against Erickson Lubin. Ortiz enters this fight with a perfect 23-0 record with 21 knockouts. Lubin has won three straight fights and is a former WBC title challenger.
Here is my best bet for Ortiz vs. Lubin at tonight’s boxing event.
Vergil Ortiz Jr. by KO/TKO/DQ (-135)
Yes, Ortiz has won back-to-back fights via the judges’ scorecards. But before that, he won his first 21 boxing fights by KO/TKO. At 27 years old, if Ortiz can pick up an impressive victory over Lubin, he could have the most significant opportunity of his career, a fight with the best fighter at 147 pounds, Jaron “Boots” Ennis.
Even though Lubin has won three consecutive bouts and is a former title challenger, Ortiz is still the massive -900 favorite with Lubin being a +550 underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook. Ortiz is -135 to win this fight by KO/TKO/DQ.
In this fight, Lubin has the physical advantages as he is slightly taller (5’11” vs. 5’10”) with a 4.5 edge in reach (74.5″ vs. 70″). Even though he isn’t 30 yet, Ortiz is already one of the best boxers in the sport. Ortiz is seventh in total connect percentage (34.8%) and eighth in jabs landed per round (6.3) via CompuBox.
This is Ortiz’s moment to shine, and if Ortiz is aggressive, he has the tools to become the third fighter to stop Lubin. Boots vs. Ortiz has the potential to be one of the biggest fights in 2026, featuring two of the best fighters under 30 years old in the sport.
