November is here, and the NBA is just starting to heat up. After a handful of games, we’re beginning to get a better sense of rotations and depth charts across the association. Still, figuring out which players to back, and which to fade, is easier said than done. Here are my three favorite prop bet picks on DraftKings Sportsbook for Saturday’s six-game NBA slate.
Top NBA prop bet picks
Ryan Rollins 2+ three-pointers made (-127)
The Bucks are off to a blistering start, winning four of their first five games. One of the major catalysts has been Ryan Rollins, who has emerged as the team’s starting point guard. So far, he’s averaging 18.6 points, 3.6 rebounds and 5.0 assists per game. The 23-year-old’s most recent outing, a 32-point showing vs. Golden State, came without Giannis Antetokounmpo healthy.
If healthy, Milwaukee’s offense should run through the Greek Freak. That makes it difficult to expect 20+ points from any of his other teammates. However, there should be more open looks for the entire squad. Rollins has knocked down nine three-pointers over his last two appearances. Since joining the Bucks in 2024, the Toledo alum has knocked down 42% of his shots from deep. Last season, the Kings allowed an NBA-worst 38% of three-pointers to go in. Expect Rollins to do damage against a subpar perimeter defense this evening.
Alex Sarr under 23.5 points + rebounds (-123)
Alex Sarr has undeniable talent, especially on defense. However, his shooting is still a work in progress. Over his two-year NBA career, the Frenchman has connected on just 40.5% of his field goal attempts. There are signs that the second overall pick is beginning to improve his shot selection. Still, Sarr’s scoring output can vary on any given night. In addition, the Wizards have more mouths to feed this season compared to last.
Most of the time, the center would be an intriguing pick. After all, the center’s offensive game has only continued to progress. However, this is about as difficult a matchup as it gets. Last season, the Magic held opponents to the sixth-fewest rebounds (50.9) and fewest points (105.5) per game. Over three career meetings with Orlando, Sarr has only averaged 13.3 points on 34.1% shooting. Even if the youngster is more efficient tonight, it’s difficult to expect an offensive outburst. Fade the second-year pro against one of the association’s stingiest defenses.
Jalen Duren 11+ rebounds (-130)
One of the biggest x-factors for Detroit’s success this season is Jalen Duren. The fourth-year pro gives the Pistons a nightly double-double threat. In addition, his dominance on the boards is especially useful for an offensively-limited club. Through five games this season, the 21-year-old is averaging 14.8 points and 10.0 rebounds while shooting 57% from the field. However, his minutes total has varied between 12 and 33 thus far.
Expect Duren to see plenty of playing time during tonight’s contest. The Mavericks are extremely short-handed, especially down low. Anthony Davis (calf) and Dereck Lively II (knee) have already been ruled out. Fellow center Daniel Gafford (ankle) is recovering from an injury, as well. To make matters worse, Dallas is surrendering the most rebounds per game to opponents (69.2). Fresh off of a 13-board performance vs. Orlando, Duren is poised for an even better showing on Saturday.
